Department Climate Variability
The department investigates climate and Earth-system variability on all timescales from seasonal to millennial. The main research tools are coupled ocean-atmosphere and Earth-system models, but observations, statistical analysis, and data assimilation are also employed to improve the understanding of past, current, and future climate variability. A particular focus lies on the role of the ocean in climate variability and change. The department is the home of the ocean component of ICON and has pioneered developments in decadal climate and Earth-system prediction.
Department members and publications
- Andernach, M., Kapsch, M.-L. & Mikolajewicz, U. (in press). Impact of the Greenland ice sheet on the atmosphere and ocean disentangled (under open review). Earth System Dynamics Discussions. doi:10.5194/esd-2024-24 [Preprint] [pre-print]
- Barkhordarian, A., Nielsen, D., Olonscheck, D. & Baehr, J. (2024). Arctic marine heatwaves forced by greenhouse gases and triggered by abrupt sea-ice melt. Communications Earth and Environment, 5: 57. doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01215-y [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Bastin, S., Koldunov, A., Schütte, F., Gutjahr, O., Mrozowska, M., Fischer, T., Shevchenko, R., Kumar, A., Koldunov, N., Haak, H., Brüggemann, N., Hummels, R., Specht, M., Jungclaus, J., Danilov, S., Dengler, M. & Jochum, M. (2024). Sensitivity of the tropical Atlantic to vertical mixing in two ocean models (ICON-O v2.6.6 and FESOM v2.5) (open for discussions). doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-2281 [Preprint] [pre-print]
- Behncke, J., Landschützer, P. & Tanhua, T. (2024). A detectable change in the air-sea CO2 flux estimate from sailboat measurements. Scientific Reports, 14: 3345. doi:10.1038/s41598-024-53159-0 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Bishnoi, A., Stein, O., Meyer, C., Redler, R., Eicker, N., Haak, H., Hoffmann, L., Klocke, D., Kornblueh, L. & Suarez, E. (2024). Earth system modeling on modular supercomputing architecture: coupled atmosphere-ocean simulations with ICON 2.6.6-rc. Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 261-273. doi:10.5194/gmd-17-261-2024 [publisher-version]
- Brüggemann, N., Losch, M., Scholz, P., Pollmann, F., Danilov, S., Gutjahr, O., Jungclaus, J., Koldunov, N., Korn, P., Olbers, D. & Eden, C. (2024). Parameterized internal wave mixing in three ocean general circulation models. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16: e2023MS003768. doi:10.1029/2023MS003768 [research-data][publisher-version]
- Burt, D. (2024). Unravelling climate conditions preceding the end-Permian mass extinction: insights from latest Permian interannual tropical variability and extreme events. Phd Thesis, Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 283. [publisher-version]
- Creel, R., Miessner, F., Wilkenskjeld, S., Austermann, J. & Overduin, P. (2024). Glacial isostatic adjustment reduces past and future Arctic subsea permafrost. Nature Communications, 15: 3232. doi:10.1038/s41467-024-45906-8 [publisher-version]
- de Hertog, S., Lopez-Fabara, C., van der Ent, R., Keune, J., Miralles, D., Portmann, R., Schemm, S., Havermann, F., Guo, S., Luo, F., Manola, I., Lejeune, Q., Pongratz, J., Schleussner, C.-F., Seneviratne, S. & Thiery, W. (2024). Effects of idealized land cover and land management changes on the atmospheric water cycle. Earth System Dynamics, 15, 265-291. doi:10.5194/esd-15-265-2024 [publisher-version]
- Di Capua, G., Tyrlis, E., Matei, D. & Donner, R. (2024). Tropical and mid-latitude causal drivers of the eastern Mediterranean Etesians during boreal summer. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-024-07411-y [publisher-version]
- Erokhina, O. & Mikolajewicz, U. (2024). A new Eulerian iceberg module for climate studies. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16: e2023MS003807. doi:10.1029/2023MS003807 [supplementary-material][supplementary-material][publisher-version]
- García-Pereira, F., González-Rouco, J., Melo-Aguilar, C., Steinert, N., García-Bustamante, E., de Vrese, P., Jungclaus, J., Lorenz, S., Hagemann, S., Cuesta-Valero, F., García-García, A. & Beltrami, H. (2024). First comprehensive assessment of industrial-era land heat uptake from multiple sources. Under open review for Earth System Dynamics. Earth System Dynamics, 15, 547-564. doi:10.5194/esd-15-547-2024 [publisher-version]
- Ghosh, R., Manzini, E., Gao, Y., Gastineau, G., Cherchi, A., Frankignoul, C., Liang, Y.-C., Kwon, Y.-O., Suo, L., Tyrlis, E., Mecking V, J., Tian, T., Zhang, Y. & Matei, D. (2024). Observed winter Barents Kara Sea ice variations induce prominent sub-decadal variability and a multi-decadal trend in the Warm Arctic Cold Eurasia pattern. Environmental Research Letters, 19: 024018. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad1c1a [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Guo, S., Havermann, F., De Hertog, S., Luo, F., Manola, I., Raddatz, T., Li, H., Thiery, W., Lejeune, Q., Schleussner, C.-F., Wårlind, D., Nieradzik, L. & Pongratz, J. (2024). Remote carbon cycle changes are overlooked impacts of land-cover and land management changes. doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-2387 [Preprint] [pre-print]
- Gutjahr, O. & Mehlmann, C. (2024). Polar lows and their effects on sea ice and the upper ocean in the Iceland, Greenland and Labrador Seas. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129: e2023JC020258. doi:10.1029/2023JC020258 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
- Jersild, A. & Landschützer, P. (2024). A spatially explicit uncertainty analysis of the air-sea CO2 flux from observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 51: 45. doi:10.1029/2023GL106636 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Jin, Y., Köhl, A., Jungclaus, J. & Stammer, D. (2024). Mechanisms of projected sea-level trends and variability in the Southeast Asia region based on MPI-ESM-ER. Climate Dynamics, 62, 973-988. doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06960-y [publisher-version]
- Karpechko, A., Wu, Z., Simpson, I., Kretschmer, M., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Butler, A., Domeisen, D., Garny, H., Lawrence, Z., Manzini, E. & Sigmond, M. (2024). Northern hemisphere stratosphere-troposphere circulation change in CMIP6 models: 2. mechanisms and sources of the spread. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129: e2024JD040823.. doi:10.1029/2024JD040823 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Lapolli, F., da Silva Peixoto, P. & Korn, P. (2024). Accuracy and stability analysis of horizontal discretizations used in unstructured grid ocean models. Ocean Modelling, 189: 102335. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102335 [publisher-version]
- Li, D., Zhou, T., Qi, Y., Zou, L., Li, C., Zhang, W. & Chen, X. (2024). Future reduction of cold extremes over East Asia due to thermodynamic and dynamic warming. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 24, 7347-7358. doi:10.5194/acp-24-7347-2024 [publisher-version]
- Liu, W., Li, S., Li, C., Rugenstein, M. & Thomas, A. (2024). Contrasting fast and slow intertropical convergence zone migrations linked to delayed Southern Ocean warming. Nature Climate Change, 14, 732-739. doi:10.1038/s41558-024-02034-x
- Lott, F., Rani, R., McLandress, C., Podglajen, A., Bushell, A., Bramberger, M., Lee, H.-K., Alexander, J., Anstey, J., Chun, H.-Y., Hertzog, A., Kim, Y.-H., Kawatani, Y., Legras, B., Manzini, E., Naoe, H., Osprey, S., Plougonven, R., Pohlmann, H., Richter, J., Scinocca, J., Serrano, J., Serva, F., Stockdale, T., Versick, S., Watanabe, S. & Yoshida, K. (2024). Comparison between non-orographic gravity-wave parameterizations used in QBOi models and Strateole 2 constant-level balloons. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. doi:10.1002/qj.4793 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Lüschow, V. & von Storch, J.-S. (2024). Sensitivity of internal-tide generation to stratification and its implication for deep overturning circulations. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 54, 319-330. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-23-0058.1 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
- Manzini, E., Ayarzagüena, B., Calvo, N. & Matei, D. (2024). Nonlinearity and asymmetry of the ENSO stratospheric pathway – Revisited. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129: e2023JD039992. doi:10.1029/2023JD039992 [publisher-version]
- Mathis, M., Lacroix, F., Hagemann, S., Nielsen, D., Ilyina, T. & Schrum, C. (2024). Enhanced CO2 uptake of the coastal ocean is dominated by biological carbon fixation. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/s41558-024-01956-w [publisher-version]
- Meinshausen, M., Schleussner, C.-F., Beyer, K., Bodeker, G., Boucher, O., Canadell, J., Daniel, J., Diongue-Niang, A., Driouech, F., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Grose, M., Hansen, G., Hausfather, Z., Ilyina, T., Kikstra, J., Kimutai, J., King, A., Lee, J.-Y., Lennard, C., Lissner, T., Nauels, A., Peters, G., Pirani, A., Plattner, G.-K., Pörtner, H., Rogelj, J., Rojas, M., Roy, J., Samset, B., Sanderson, B., Séférian, R., Seneviratne, S., Smith, C., Szopa, S., Thomas, A., Urge-Vorsatz, D., Velders, G., Yokohata, T., Ziehn, T. & Nicholls, Z. (2024). A perspective on the next generation of Earth system model scenarios. Geoscientific Model Development, 17, 4533-4559. doi:10.5194/gmd-17-4533-2024 [publisher-version]
- Mikolajewicz, U., Kapsch, M.-L., Schannwell, C., Six, K., Ziemen, F., Bagge, M., Baudouin, J.-P., Erokhina, O., Gayler, V., Klemann, V., Meccia, V., Mouchet, A. & Riddick, T. (in press). Deglaciation and abrupt events in a coupled comprehensive atmosphere-ocean-ice sheet-solid earth model (open for discussion for Climate of the Past). Climate of the past discussions. doi:10.5194/cp-2024-55 [Preprint] [pre-print]
- Mrozowska, M., Jochum, M., Bastin, S., Hummels, R., Koldunov, A., Dengler, M., Fischer, T., Nuterman, R. & Hansen, R. (2024). Using NIW observations to assess mixed layer parameterizations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129: e2024JC020985. doi:10.1029/2024JC020985
- Nielsen, D., Chegini, F., März, J., Brune, S., Mathis, M., Dobrynin, M., Baehr, J., Brovkin, V. & Ilyina, T. (2024). Addendum: Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion. Nature Climate Change, 14: 1003. doi:10.1038/s41558-024-02133-9 [publisher-version]
- Nielsen, D., Chegini, F., März, J., Brune, S., Mathis, M., Dobrynin, M., Baehr, J., Brovkin, V. & Ilyina, T. (2024). Reduced Arctic Ocean CO2 uptake due to coastal permafrost erosion. Nature Climate Change, 2024. doi:10.1038/s41558-024-02074-3 [publisher-version]
- Olonscheck, D. & Rugenstein, M. (2024). Coupled climate models systematically underestimate radiation response to surface warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 51: e2023GL106909. doi:10.1029/2023GL106909 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
- Ramme, L., Ilyina, T. & Marotzke, J. (2024). Moderate greenhouse climate and rapid carbonate formation after Marinoan snowball Earth. Nature Communications, 15: 3571. doi:10.1038/s41467-024-47873-6 [publisher-version]
- Resplandy, L., Hogikyan, A., Bange, H., Bianchi, D., Weber, T., Cai, W.-J., Doney, S., Fennel, K., Gehlen, M., Hauck, J., Lacroix, F., Landschützer, P., Le Quéré, C., Müller, J., G.Najjar, R., Roobaert, A., Schwinger, J., Berthet, S., Bopp, L., Chau, T., Dai, M., Gruber, N., Ilyina, T., Kock, A., Manizza, M., Lachkar, Z., Laruellel, G., Liao, E., Lima, l., Nissen, C., Rödenbeck, C., Sefer¡an, R., Toyama, K., Tsujino, H., Willis, D. & Regnier, P. (2024). A synthesis of global coastal ocean greenhouse gas air-sea fluxes. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 38: e2023GB007803. doi:10.1029/2023GB007803 [publisher-version]
- Ritschel, M. (2024). A transforming Arctic: unraveling climate change impacts on sea-ice evolution and oceanic pCO2. Phd Thesis, Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 281. [publisher-version]
- Rockström, J., Kotzé, L., Milutinovic, S., Biermann, F., Brovkin, V., Donges, J., Ebbeson, J., French, D., Gupta, J., Kim, R., Lenton, T., Lenzi, D., Nakicenovic, N., Neumann, B., Schuppert, F., Winkelmann, R., Bosselmann, K., Folke, C., Lucht, W., Schlosberg, D., Richardson, K. & Steffen, W. (2024). The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth- regulating systems in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121. doi:10.1073/pnas.2301531121 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Schannwell, C., Mikolajewicz, U., Ziemen, F. & Kapsch, M.-L. (2024). A mechanism for reconciling the synchronisation of Heinrich events and Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles. Nature Communications, 15: 2961. doi:10.1038/s41467-024-47141-7 [publisher-version]
- Six, K., Mikolajewicz, U. & Schmied, G. (2024). Modelling Mediterranean ocean biogeochemistry of the last glacial maximun. Climate of the Past, 20, 1785-1816. doi:10.5194/cp-20-1785-2024 [publisher-version]
- Snoll, B., Ivanovic, R., Gregoire, L., Sherriff-Tadano, S., Menviel, L., Obase, T., Abe-Ouchi, A., Bouttes, N., He, C., He, F., Kapsch, M.-L., Mikolajewicz, U., Muglia, J. & Valdes, P. (2024). A multi-model assessment of the early last deglaciation (PMIP4 LDv1): A meltwater perspective. Climate of the Past, 20, 789-815. doi:10.5194/cp-20-789-2024 [publisher-version]
- Song, J., Song, F., Feng, Z., Leung, L., Li, C. & Wu, L. (2024). Realistic precipitation diurnal cycle in global convection-permitting models by resolving mesoscale convective systems. Geophysical Research Letters, 51: e2024GL109945. doi:10.1029/2024GL109945 [publisher-version]
- Specht, M., Jungclaus, J. & Bader, J. (in press). Seasonality of subsurface shear instabilities at tropical instability wave fronts in the Atlantic Ocean in a high-resolution simulation. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 129: e2023JC020041. doi:10.1029/2023JC020041 [research-data][publisher-version]
- Ssebandeke, J. (2024). Quantifying aspects of the ocean's energetics using eddy-resolving simulations. Phd Thesis, Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 279. [publisher-version]
- Ssebandeke, J., von Storch, J. & Brüggemann, N. (2024). Sensitivity of the global Lorenz energy cycle. Ocean Dynamics, available online.. doi:10.1007/s10236-023-01568-6 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Steinert, N., Cuesta‐Valero, F., García‐Pereira, F., de Vrese, P., Melo Aguilar, C., García‐Bustamante, E., Jungclaus, J. & González‐Rouco, J. (2024). Underestimated land heat uptake alters the global energy distribution in CMIP6 climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51: e2023GL107613. doi:10.1029/2023GL107613 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Stevens, B., Adami, S., Ali, T., Anzt, H., Aslan, Z., Attinger, S., Bäck, J., Baehr, J., Bauer, P., Bernier, N., Bishop, B., Bockelmann, H., Bony, S., Bouchet, V., Brasseur, G., Bresch, D., Breyer, S., Brunet, G., Buttigieg, P., Cao, J., Castet, C., Cheng, Y., Dey Choudhury, A., Coen, D., Crewell, S., Dabholkar, A., Dai, Q., Doblas-Reyes, F., Durran, D., El Gaidi, A., Ewen, C., Exarchou, E., Eyring, V., Falkinhoff, F., Farrell, D., Forster, P., Frassoni, A., Frauen, C., Fuhrer, O., Gani, S., Gerber, E., Goldfarb, D., Grieger, J., Gruber, N., Hazeleger, W., Herken, R., Hewitt, C., Hoefler, T., Hsu, H.-H., Jacob, D., Jahn, A., Jakob, C., Jung, T., Kadow, C., Kang, I.-S., Kang, S., Kashinath, K., Kleinen-von Königslöw, K., Klocke, D., Kloenne, U., Klöwer, M., Kodama, C., Kollet, S., Kölling, T., Kontkanen, J., Kopp, S., Koran, M., Kulmala, M., Lappalainen, H., Latifi, F., Lawrence, B., Lee, J., Lejeun, Q., Lessig, C., Li, C., Lippert, T., Luterbacher, J., Manninen, P., Marotzke, J., Matsouoka, S., Merchant, C., Messmer, P., Michel, G., Michielsen, K., Miyakawa, T., Müller, J., Munir, R., Narayanasetti, S., Ndiaye, O., Nobre, C., Oberg, A., Oki, R., Özkan-Haller, T., Palmer, T., Posey, S., Prein, A., Primus, O., Pritchard, M., Pullen, J., Putrasahan, D., Quaas, J., Raghavan, K., Ramaswamy, V., Rapp, M., Rauser, F., Reichstein, M., Revi, A., Saluja, S., Satoh, M., Schemann, V., Schemm, S., Schnadt Poberaj, C., Schulthess, T., Senior, C., Shukla, J., Singh, M., Slingo, J., Sobel, A., Solman, S., Spitzer, J., Stier, P., Stocker, T., Strock, S., Su, H., Taalas, P., Taylor, J., Tegtmeier, S., Teutsch, G., Tompkins, A., Ulbrich, U., Vidale, P.-L., Wu, C.-M., Xu, H., Zaki, N., Zanna, L., Zhou, T. & Ziemen, F. (in press). Earth Virtualization Engines (EVE). Earth System Science Data, 16, 2113-2122. doi:10.5194/essd-2023-376 [publisher-version]
- Torres Mendonca, G., Reick, C. & Pongratz, J. (2024). Timescale dependence of airborne fraction and underlying climate-carbon-cycle feedbacks for weak perturbations in CMIP5 models. Biogeosciences, 21, 1923-1960. doi:10.5194/bg-21-1923-2024 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
- van Dijk, E., Jungclaus, J., Sigl, M., Timmreck, C. & Krüger, K. (2024). High-frequency climate forcing causes prolonged cold periods in the Holocene. Communications Earth & Environment, 5: 242. doi:10.1038/s43247-024-01380-0 [publisher-version]
- von Storch, J.-S. (2024). Randomness and integral forcing. Tellus Series A-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 76, 74-89. doi:10.16993/tellusa.4065 [publisher-version][supplementary-material][code]
- Wallberg, L., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Matei, D. & Müller, W. (2024). Extremely warm European summers preceded by sub-decadal North Atlantic ocean heat accumulation. Earth System Dynamics, 15, 1-14. doi:10.5194/esd-15-1-2024 [publisher-version]
- Weitzel, N., Andres, H., Baudouin, J.-P., Kapsch, M.-L., Mikolajewicz, U., Jonkers, L., Bothe, O., Ziegler, E., Kleinen, T., Paul, A. & Rehfeld, K. (2024). Towards spatio-temporal comparison of simulated and reconstructed sea surface temperatures for the last deglaciation. Climate of the Past, 20, 865-890. doi:10.5194/cp-20-865-2024 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- Wu, M., Li, C. & Zhang, Z. (2024). Recalibrated projections of the Hadley circulation under global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 19: 104041. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ad751f [publisher-version]
- Wu, M., Zhou, T., Li, C., Wu, B. & Jiang, J. (2024). Unraveling the role of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation in recent tropical expansion via large-ensemble simulations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129: e2023JD040294. doi:10.1029/2023JD040294 [publisher-version]
- Zanchettin, D., Modali, K., Müller, W. & Rubino, A. (2024). Ross-Weddell dipole critical for Antarctic sea ice predictability in MPI-ESM-HR. Atmosphere, 15. doi:10.3390/atmos15030295 [publisher-version]
- Zhang, W., Clark, R., Zhou, T., Li, L., Li, C., Rivera, J., Zhang, L., Gui, K., Zhang, T., Li, L., Pan, R., Chen, Y., Tang, S., Huang, X. & Hu, S. (2024). 2023: Weather and climate extremes hitting the globe with emerging features. Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. doi:10.1007/s00376-024-4080-3 [publisher-version]
- Zhang, Z., Poulter, B., Melton, J., Riley, W., Allen, G., Beerling, D., Bousquet, P., Canadell, J., Fluet-Chouinard, E., Ciais, P., Gedney, N., Hopcroft, P., Ito, A., Jackson, R., Jain, A., Jensen, K., Joos, F., Kleinen, T., Knox, S., Li, T., Li, X., Liu, X., McDonald, K., McNicol, G., Miller, P., Müller, J., Patra, P., Peng, C., Peng, S., Qin, Z., Riggs, R., Saunois, M., Sun, Q., Tian, H., Xu, X., Yao, Y., Yi, X., Zhang, W., Zhu, Q., Zhu, Q. & Zhuang, Q. (2024). Ensemble estimate of global wetland methane emissions over the period 2000-2020 (under open discussion). Nature Communications. doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-1584 [Preprint] [pre-print]
- Ziegler, E., Weitzel, N., Baudouin, J.-P., Kapsch, M.-L., Mikolajewicz, U., Gregoire, L., Ivanovic, R., Valdes, P., Wirths, C. & Rehfeld, K. (in press). Patterns of changing surface climate variability from the Last Glacial Maximum to present in transient model simultations (under open review). doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-1396 [Preprint] [pre-print]
- Akperov, M., Eliseev, A., Rinke, A., Mokhov, l., Semenov, V., Dembitskaya, M., Matthes, H., Adakudlu, M., Boberg, F., Christensen, J., Dethloff, K., Fettweis, X., Gutjahr, O., Heinemann, G., Koenigk, T., Sein, D., Laprise, R., Mottram, R., Nikiéma, O., Soþolowski, S., Winger, K. & Zhang, W. (2023). Future project¡ons of wind energy potentials in the Arctic for the 21st century under the RCP8.5 scenario from regional climate models (Arctic-CORDEX). Anthropocene, 44: 100402 .
- Beobide-Arsuaga, G., Düsterhus, A., Müller, W., Barnes, E. & Baehr, J. (2023). Spring regional sea surface temperatures as a precursor of European summer heatwaves. Geophysical Research Letters, 50: e2022GL100727. doi:10.1029/2022GL100727 [publisher-version]
- Bevacqua, E., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Jézéquel, A., Lehner, F., Vrac, M., Yiou, P. & Zscheischler, J. (2023). Advancing research on compound weather and climate events via large ensemble model simulations. Nature Communications, 14: 2145. doi:10.1038/s41467-023-37847-5 [publisher-version]
- Bouttes, N., Lhardy, F., Quiquet, A., Aillard, D., Goose, H. & Roche, D. (2023). Deglacial climate changes as forced by different ice sheet reconstructions. Climate of the Past, 19, 1027-1042. doi:10.5194/cp-19-1027-2023 [publisher-version]
- Chang, K.-Y., Riley, W., Collier, N., McNicol, G., Fluet-Chouinard, E., Knox, S., Delwiche, K., Jackson, R., Poulter, B., Saunois, M., Chandra, N., Gedney, N., Ishizawa, M., Ito, A., Joos, F., Kleinen, T., Maggi, F., McNorton, J., Melton, J., Miller, P., Niwa, Y., Pasut, C., Patra, P., Peng, C., Peng, S., Segers, A., Tian, H., Tsuruta, A., Yao, Y., Yin, Y., Zhang, W., Zhang, Z., Zhu, Q., Zhu, Q. & Zhuang, Q. (2023). Observational constraints reduce model spread but not uncertainty in global wetland methane emission estimates. Global Change Biology: early view. doi:10.1111/gcb.16755
- Crétat, J., Harrison, S., Braconnot, P., d’Agostino, R., Jungclaus, J., Lohmann, G., Shi, X. & Marti, O. (2023). Orbitally forced and internal changes in West African rainfall interannual-to-decadal variability for the last 6000 years. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-023-07023-y
- Crisan, D., Holm, D. & Korn, P. (2023). An implementation of Hasselmann’s paradigm for stochastic climate modelling based on stochastic Lie transport. Nonlinearity, 36, 4862-4903. doi:10.1088/1361-6544/ace1ce [publisher-version]
- De Hertog, S., Havermann, F., Vanderkelen, I., Guo, S., Luo, F., Manola, I., Coumou, D., Davin, E., Duveiller, G., Lejeune, Q., Pongratz, J., Schleussner, C.-F., Seneviratne, S. & Thiery, W. (2023). The biogeophysical effects of idealized land cover and land management changes in Earth system models. Earth System Dynamics, 14, 629-667. doi:10.5194/esd-14-629-2023 [publisher-version]
- de Vrese, P., Beckebanze, L., Galera, L., Holl, D., Kleinen, T., Kutzbach, L., Rehder, Z. & Brovkin, V. (2023). Sensitivity of Arctic CH4 emissions to landscape wetness diminished by atmospheric feedbacks. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/s41558-023-01715-3 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
- de Vrese, P., Georgievski, G., Gonzalez Rouco, J., Notz, D., Stacke, T., Steinert, N., Wilkenskjeld, S. & Brovkin, V. (2023). Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and Subarctic climate. The Cryosphere, 17, 2095-2118. doi:10.5194/tc-17-2095-2023 [publisher-version]
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- Bell, N., Hsu, L., Jacob, D., Schultz, M., Blake, D., Butler, J., King, D., Lobert, J. & Maier-Reimer, E. (2002). Methyl iodide: Atmospheric budget and use as a tracer of marine convection in global models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 107: 4340. doi:10.1029/2001JD001151 [publisher-version]
- Davey, M., Huddleston, M., Sperber, K., Braconnot, P., Bryan, F., Chen, D., Colman, R., Cooper, C., Cubasch, U., Delecluse, P., DeWitt, D., Fairhead, L., Flato, G., Gordon, C., Hogan, T., Ji, M., Kimoto, M., Kitoh, A., Knutson, T., Latif, M., Le Treut, H., Li, T., Manabe, S., Mechoso, C., Meehl, G., Power, S., Roeckner, E., Terray, L., Vintzileos, A., Voss, R., Wang, B., Washington, W., Yoshikawa, I., Yu, J., Yukimoto, S. & Zebiak, S. (2002). STOIC: a study of coupled model climatology and variability in tropical ocean regions. Climate Dynamics, 18, 403-420. doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0188-6
- Dommenget, D. & Latif, M. (2002). A cautionary note on the interpretation of EOFs. Journal of Climate, 15, 216-225. doi:10.1175/1520-0442(2002)015<0216:ACNOTI>2.0.CO;2 [publisher-version]
- Dommenget, D. & Latif, M. (2002). Analysis of observed and simulated SST spectra in the midlatitudes. Climate Dynamics, 19, 277-288. doi:10.1007/s00382-002-0229-9
- Dutay, J., Bullister, J., Doney, S., Orr, J., Najjar, R., Caldeira, K., Campin, J.-M., Drange, H., Follows, M., Gao, Y., Gruber, N., Hecht, M., Ishida, A., Joos, F., Lindsay, K., Madec, G., Maier-Reimer, E., Marshall, J., Matear, R., Monfray, P., Mouchet, A., Plattner, G.-K., Sarmiento, J., Schlitzer, R., Slater, R., Totterdell, I., Weirig, M.-F., Yamanaka, Y. & Yool, A. (2002). Evaluation of ocean model ventilation with CFC-11: comparison of 13 global ocean models. Ocean Modelling, 4, 89-120. doi:10.1016/S1463-5003(01)00013-0
- Franke, C., Ziller, M., Staubach, C. & Latif, M. (2002). Impact of the El Nino/Southern Oscillation on visceral leishmaniasis, Brazil. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 8, 914-917. doi:10.3201/eid0809.010523 [publisher-version]
- Heinze, C. (2002). Assessing the importance of the Southern Ocean for natural atmospheric pCO(2) variations with a global biogeochemical general circulation model. Deep-Sea Research Part II-Topical Studies in Oceanography, 49, 3105-3125. doi:10.1016/S0967-0645(02)00074-7
- Henderson, G. & Maier-Reimer, E. (2002). Advection and removal of Pb-210 and stable Pb isotopes in the oceans: A general circulation model study. Geochimica et Cosmochimica Acta, 66, 257-272. doi:10.1016/S0016-7037(01)00779-7
- Johannessen, O., Sagen, H., Hamre, T., Hobaek, H., Hasselmann, K., Maier-Reimer, E., Mikolajewicz, U., Wadhams, P., Kaletzky, A., Bobylev, L., Evert, E., Troyan, V., Naugolnykh, K. & Esipov, I. (2002). Acoustic monitoring of ocean climate in the Arctic (AMOC). In Flemming, N. & Vallerga et al, S. (Eds.), Operational Oceanography - Implementation at the European and regional Scales (pp.371-378). Amsterdam: Elsevier Science BV. doi:10.1016/S0422-9894(02)80043-5
- Keenlyside, N. & Kleeman, R. (2002). Annual cycle of equatorial zonal currents in the Pacific. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 107: 3093. doi:10.1029/2000JC000711 [publisher-version]
- Klatt, O., Roether, W., Hoppema, M., Bulsiewicz, K., Fleischmann, U., Rodehacke, C., Fahrbach, E., Weiss, R. & Bullister, J. (2002). Repeated CFC sections at the Greenwich Meridian in the Weddell Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 107: 3030. doi:10.1029/2000JC000731 [publisher-version]
- Kriest, I. (2002). Different parameterizations of marine snow in a 1D-model and their influence on representation of marine snow, nitrogen budget and sedimentation. Deep-Sea Research Part I-Oceanographic Research Papers, 49, 2133-2162. doi:10.1016/S0967-0637(02)00127-9
- Latif, M. (2002). Das Klima des 20. und 21. Jahrhunderts. In Environmental Communication in the Information Society - Proceedings of the 16th International Conference Informatics for Environmental Protection (pp.43-48). Wien: IGU/ISEP. [publisher-version]
- Legutke, S. & Maier-Reimer, E. (2002). The impact of a downslope water-transport parameterization in a global ocean general circulation model. Climate Dynamics, 18, 611-623. doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0202-z [publisher-version]
- Liess, S. (2002). Model studies of the tropical 30 to 60 day oscillation. Phd Thesis, Hamburg: University of Hamburg. Examensarbeit / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, 88. [publisher-version]
- May, W., Voss, R. & Roeckner, E. (2002). Changes in the mean and extremes of the hydrological cycle in Europe under enhanced greenhouse gas conditions in a global time-slice experiment. In Beniston, M. (Eds.), Climatic Change: Implications for the Hydrological Cycle and for Water Management (pp.1-29). Dordrecht: Kluwer Academic.
- Merkel, U. & Latif, M. (2002). A high resolution AGCM study of the El Niño impact on the North Atlantic/European sector. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(9): 1291. doi:10.1029/2001GL013726 [publisher-version]
- Schöttle, S. (2002). The Impact of Sea Surface Height Data Assimilation on El Niño Analyses and Forecasts. Phd Thesis, Hamburg: University of Hamburg. Examensarbeit / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, 86. [publisher-version]
- Ultsch, A. & Röske, F. (2002). Self-organizing feature maps predicting sea levels. Information Sciences, 144, 91-125. doi:10.1016/S0020-0255(02)00203-7
- Voss, R., May, W. & Roeckner, E. (2002). Enhanced resolution modelling study on anthropogenic climate change: Changes in extremes of the hydrological cycle. International Journal of Climatology, 22, 755-777. doi:10.1002/joc.757
- Winguth, A., Heinze, C., Kutzbach, J., Maier-Reimer, E., Mikolajewicz, U., Rowley, D., Rees, A. & Ziegler, A. (2002). Simulated warm polar currents during the middle Permian. Paleoceanography, 17: 1057. doi:10.1029/2001PA000646 [publisher-version]
- Latif, M. (2001). Tropical Pacific/Atlantic Ocean interactions at multi-decadal time scales. Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 539-542. doi:10.1029/2000GL011837 [publisher-version]
- Latif, M. (2001). On North Pacific Climate variability. Report / Max-Planck Institut für Meteorologie, 318.
- Latif, M., Sperber, K., Arblaster, J., Braconnot, P., Chen, D., Colman, A., Cubasch, U., Cooper, C., Delecluse, P., DeWitt, D., Fairhead, L., Flato, G., Hogan, T., Ji, M., Kimoto, M., Kitoh, A., Knutson, T., Le Treut, H., Li, T., Manabe, S., Marti, O., Mechoso, C., Meehl, G., Power, S., Roeckner, E., Sirven, J., Terray, L., Vintzileos, A., Voss, R., Wang, B., Washington, W., Yoshikawa, I., Yu, J. & Zebiak, S. (2001). ENSIP: the El Nino simulation intercomparison project. Climate Dynamics, 18, 255-276. doi:10.1007/s003820100174
- Liess, S., Bengtsson, L. & Arpe, K. (2001). The Madden-Julian Oscillation in the ECHAM4 / OPYC3 CGCM. Report / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, 319. [pre-print]
- Schnitzler, K.-G., Knorr, W., Latif, M., Bader, J. & Zeng, N. (2001). Vegetation feedback on Sahelian rainfall variability in a coupled climate land-vegetation model. Report / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, 329. [publisher-version]
- Voss, R. & Mikolajewicz, U. (2001). The Climate of 6000 years BP in near equilibrium simulations with a coupled AOGCM. Geophysical Research Letters, 28, 2213-2216. doi:10.1029/2000GL012498 [publisher-version]
- Cubasch, U., Voss, R. & Mikolajewicz, U. (2000). Precipitation: A Parameter changing climate and modified by climate change. Climatic Change, 46, 257-276. doi:10.1023/A:1005600525681 [publisher-version]
- Hu, Z.-Z., Latif, M., Roeckner, E. & Bengtsson, L. (2000). Intensified Asian summer monsoon and its variability in a coupled model forced by increasing greenhouse gas concentrations. Geophysical Research Letters, 27, 2681-2684. doi:10.1029/2000GL011550 [publisher-version]
- Jungclaus, J. & Mellor, G. (2000). A three-dimensional model study of the Mediterranean outflow. Journal of Marine Systems, 24, 41-66. doi:10.1016/S0924-7963(99)00078-0
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- Mikolajewicz, U. & Voss, R. (2000). The role of individual air sea-sea flux components in CO2-induced changes of the ocean's circulation and climate. Climate Dynamics, 16, 627-642. doi:10.1007/s003820000066
- Winguth, A. (1997). Assimilation von ð13C-Daten aus marinen Sedimentbohrkernen in das LSG zur Rekonstruktion der Ozeanzirkulation während des letzten glazialen Maximums. Phd Thesis, Hamburg: University of Hamburg. Examensarbeit / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, 47. [publisher-version]
- Winguth, A. (1991). Windinduzierte interannuale Variabilität in der Warmwassersphäre von 1981 bis 1987 - Teil II: FLUktuation im Kohlenstoffkreislauf. Thesis, Hamburg: University of Hamburg. Examensarbeit / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, 14. [publisher-version]
- Latif, M. (1990). Modellierung des gekoppelten Systems Ozean-Atmosphäre in den Tropen: Eine zusammenfassende Beschreibung der Arbeiten Latif et al., 1985; Latif, 1987; Latif, 1988; Latif et al., 1988a,b; Barnett et al., 1989 und Latif et al., 1989. Habilitation Thesis, Hamburg: Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie. Examensarbeit / Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie, 01. [publisher-version]
Contact
Prof. Dr. Jochem Marotzke
Director
Tel.: +49 (0)40 41173-440
jochem.marotzke@mpimet.mpg.de
Kornelia Müller
Assistant
Tel.: +49 (0)40 41173-311
Fax: +49 (0)40 41173-366
kornelia.mueller@ mpimet.mpg.de
Cornelia Kampmann
Assistant
Tel.: +49 (0)40 41173-467
cornelia.kampmann@ mpimet.mpg.de
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