DEUTSCH

Jochem Marotzke

Department Climate Variability
Group Director's Research Group (CVR)
Position Director
phone +49 40 41173-440/311
Email jochem.marotzke@mpimet.mpg.de
Room B 215

Research Interests

I am interested in climate variability and especially the role of the ocean in climate, climate variability, and climatic change. Together with my research students, post-docs, and collaborators I try to tackle the fundamentals of how these things work . My approach to research has been characterised by two recurrent themes: I have to the extent possible used both models and observations, and I have employed the whole spectrum of ocean and climate models, from the fully comprehensive to the highly idealised.

The phenomenon that has dominated my research more than anything else has been the Meridional Overturning Circulation (MOC) in the Atlantic, sometimes also known under the less accurate name of Thermohaline Circulation (THC, driven by surface heat and freshwater fluxes). My unwavering fascination for the Atlantic MOC arises both from its climatic importance – the MOC-induced heat transport is responsible for Europe's unusually mild climate, given its geographical location – and from the MOC's complex variability and potential for abrupt change.

Prior to moving to Hamburg, I led the UK effort to establish the national programme RAPID, which as its cornerstone installed the first monitoring system for the Atlantic MOC, at 26.5° N; (see RAPID-MOC). For a while, I still participated in the RAPID fieldwork and, through students and post-docs, the data analysis, although I found it increasingly difficult to find the time to go to sea myself.

The possibilities at MPI-M, in particular its staff and its history of state-of-the-art climate modelling, have enabled me to expand my interests significantly beyond pure large-scale physical oceanography. Some of my students here have worked on extreme climates of the past – the Snowball Earth or the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum – or have investigated potential extreme climates of the future or on other planets – the Runaway Greenhouse. These research areas draw a particular benefit from the combination of simple and complex models.

The combination of modelling and observations, on the other hand, provides a fertile ground for the research field of multi-year to decadal climate prediction. I proposed to the German Ministry for Education in Research in 2007 to establish a national programme on decadal climate prediction. I led this programme, called MiKlip, throughout its duration from 2011 to 2019; the prediction system we developed was transferred to the German meteorological service DWD where decadal predictions are now carried out operationally.

A small but extremely exciting portion of my research activity is filled by a collaboration with Prof. Manfred Milinski from the MPI for Evolutionary Biology, a collaboration that arose from a chance encounter at an annual meeting of the Max Planck Society. We perform laboratory experiments in which our human subjects play for real money – giving us insight into the conditions under which people are willing to invest into climate protection.

More recently, my interests in exploring the interactions between climate and social dynamics have broadened, and I have been one of the co-spokespersons of the Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS), led by Universität Hamburg.

Teaching and Supervision

At the University of Hamburg and within the IMPRS-ESM, I teach a graduate-levelcourse on Climate Dynamics (S_36) during the summer semester. Within this course we develop simple climate models to address questions such as: What sets the global-mean surface temperature of Earth? How strongly and how fast does Earth's climate respond to an enhanced greenhouse effect? How can we understand the stability of the ocean circulation?

I also teach a graduate seminar, Generic Academic Skills, during the winter semester (S_39). Through student presentations and group discussions, we learn about the writing of research papers and how to survive the peer-review process; we learn simple techniques of scientific writing as well as presentation and poster-making skills; and we discuss career strategies and the ethics of being a climate scientist.

Together with Dallas Murphy, a professional writer from New York City, I teach the workshop Advanced Scientific Writing (S_41), as a week-long block course in February or March. In group discussions we analyse and improve a piece of scientific writing that each participant has to submit to the workshop. Our aim is to improve the clarity of our written work; because clear writing and clear thinking are inseparable, an essential prerequisite for participation is the existence of at least a draft of a research paper or thesis chapter.

I love working with doctoral students. Almost all of my students at MPI-M have attended the IMPRS-ESM, which is my preferred recruitment vehicle. But please inquire if you are interested in joining my research group and find yourself outside the IMPRS-ESM recruitment cycle.

Unfortunately, my time does not usually permit me to work with masters students or interns, because they tend to need more detailed supervision than I am able to provide. Please contact one of the group leaders in my department if you are interested in M.Sc. work or an internship.

Biography

Name:
Jochem Marotzke

Date and place of birth:
27 November 1959, Nister (Germany)

Education:
Promotion (Ph.D.), Physical Oceanography, 1990, University of Kiel (Germany)
Diplom (M.S.), Physics, 1985, University of Kiel (Germany)

Studies of Physics in Bonn (Germany, 1977-1980), Copenhagen (Denmark, 1980-1981), and Kiel (Germany, 1981-1985)
Abitur (High School Degree), 1977, Freiherr-vom-Stein-Gymnasium Betzdorf (Germany)

Director and Scientific Member, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg (Germany), since 2003

Honorary Professor, University of Hamburg (Germany), since 2006

Acting Scientific Director, German Climate Computing Centre (DKRZ), Hamburg (Germany) 2006–2009

Head, International Max Planck Research School on Earth System Modelling, 2006–2009 and 2012–2017

Honorary Visiting Professor, Southampton Oceanography Centre (UK), 2003–2006

Professor of Physical Oceanography, Southampton Oceanography Centre (UK), 1999–2003

Associate Professor of Physical Oceanography, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (USA), 1997–1999

Assistant Professor of Physical Oceanography, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (USA), 1992–1997

Post-doctoral Associate, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (USA), 1990–1992

Election to National Academy of Science and Engineering (acatech), 2017

American Geophysical Union Editor's Citation for Excellence in Refereeing, 2011

H. Burr Steinbach Visiting Scholar, MIT/WHOI Joint Program, 2010

Fridtjof Nansen Medal of the European Geosciences Union, 2009

Election to Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina (National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina), 2007

Gary Comer Mentorship, 2004–2009

Victor P. Starr Career Development Professor, MIT, 1993–1997

Scholarship Studienstiftung des deutschen Volkes (German National Merit Foundation), 1977–1984

Ph.D. students, current:

Björn Mayer (co-advisor), María Jesús Rapanague Sepúlveda, Mikael Karvinen  (all IMPRS-ESM)


Ph.D. students, completed degrees: 

Xiaoli Wang (MIT, 1997, Meteorology; co-advisor) 

Steven R. Jayne (MIT, 1999, Physical Oceanography) 

Jeffery R. Scott (MIT, 2000, Physics and Chemistry of Climate) 

Robin S. Smith (SOC, 2004, Oceanography) 

Marc Lucas (SOC, 2005, Oceanography) 

Matthew D. Palmer (SOC, 2005, Oceanography) 

Johanna Baehr (MPI-M, 2006, Oceanography) 

Fiona McLay (SOC, 2007, Oceanography) 

Xiuhua Zhu (MPI-M, 2007, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor) 

Clotilde Dubois (SOC, 2007, Oceanography) 

Felix W. Landerer (MPI-M, 2007, IMPRS-ESM) 

Malte Heinemann (MPI-M, 2009, IMPRS-ESM) 

Nikolay Koldunov (Univ. Hamburg, 2010, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor) 

Maria Paz Chidichimo (MPI-M, 2010, IMPRS-ESM)

Aiko Voigt (MPI-M, 2010, IMPRS-ESM) 

Nils Fischer (MPI-M, 2011, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor)

Florian Rauser (MPI-M, 2011, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor) 

Steffen Tietsche (MPI-M, 2012, IMPRS-ESM)

Peter Düben (MPI-M, 2012, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor)

Chao Li (MPI-M, 2012, IMPRS-ESM)

Max Popp (MPI-M, 2013, IMPRS-ESM)

Jan Ackmann (MPI-M, 2016, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor)

Josiane Salameh (MPI-M, 2017, IMPRS-ESM)

Marlene Klockmann (MPI-M, 2017, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor)

Christopher Hedemann (MPI-M, 2017, IMPRS-ESM)

Sebastian Milinski (MPI-M, 2019, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor)

Laura Suárez-Gutiérrez (MPI-M, 2019, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor)

Veit Lüschow (MPI-M, 2020, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor)

Lukas Krönert (MPI-M, 2021, IMPRS-ESM; co-advisor)

Unnithan (Arjun) Kumar (MPI-M, 2022, IMPRS-ESM)

Tim Rohrschneider (MPI-M, 2022, IMPRS-ESM)

Lennart Ramme (MPI-M, 2023, IMPRS-ESM)

­

 

M.Sc. students, completed degrees: 

Vikas Bhushan (MIT, 1998, Physical Oceanography)

David Sirkin (MIT, 1998, Geosystems)

Takamitsu Ito (MIT, 1999, Geosystems; co-advisor)

Hua Ru (MIT, 2000, Physics and Chemistry of Climate)

Marc Lucas (SOC, 2001, Oceanography)

Johanna Baehr (SOC, 2002, Oceanography)

Stefanie Rohrer (MPI-M, 2007, Mathematics; co-advisor)

Jörn Callies (MPI-M, 2011, Meteorology)

Laura Suárez-Gutiérrez (MPI-M, 2016, Climate Science).

Tong (Tony) Lee, Kate Q. Zhang, Igor Kamenkovich, Bruno Ferron, Joël J.-M. Hirschi, Matthew Brand, Robin S. Smith, Dirk Notz, Holger Pohlmann, Zoltan Szuts, Kenji Shimizu, Chie Ihara, Daniela Matei, Chao Li, Christopher Hedemann, Nicola Maher, Maria Rugenstein, Sebastian Milinski (past)

Dirk Olonscheck, Oliver Gutjahr (current)

  • Spring Meeting of the Deutsche Physikalische Gesellschaft, Regensburg, Germany, March 2016 (Public Evening Lecture)
  • Climate, Energy, and Society: Collège de France and COP21, Paris, France, November 2015 (Invited Lecture)
  • Henry Kendall Lecture, MIT, Cambridge, MA, April 2015
  • IPCC AR5: Lessons learnt for climate research and WCRP, Bern, Switzerland, September 2014 (Invited Participant, Theme Leader)
  • Royal Society Discussion Meeting: Next steps in climate science, London, UK, October 2013 (Invited Speaker)
  • NCCR Climate Summer School, Grindelwald, Switzerland, September 2013 (Invited Lecturer)
  • International Conference on Renewable Energy and Policy, Taipeh, Taiwan, November 2012 (Keynote Speaker)
  • 13th Swiss Global Change Day, Bern, Switzerland, April 2012 (Keynote Speaker)
  • Collège de France colloquium "Ocean and Climate Change", Paris, France, March 2012 (Invited Speaker)
  • RAPID-USAMOC International Science Meeting, Bristol, UK, July 2011 (Invited Speaker, Organising Committee)
  • 50th-Anniversary Celebration, Max Planck Institute for Plasma Physics, Garching, Germany, July 2010 (Keynote Speaker)
  • Siemens-MPG Future Dialogue Symposium, Berlin, Germany, October 2009 (Invited Panelist)
  • ICSU Earth System Visioning Workshop, Paris, France, September 2009 (Invitation only)
  • World Climate Conference 3 (WCC-3), Geneva, Switzerland, September 2009 (Invited Discussant)
  • IPCC AR5 Scoping Meeting, Venice, Italy, July 2009 (Invitation only)
  • European Geophysical Union General Assembly 2009, Vienna, Austria, April 2009 (Medal Lecturer)
  • World Modelling Summit for Climate Prediction, ECMWF, Reading, UK, May 2008 (Theme Leader, Organising Committee)
  • Frontier Research Center on Global Change 10th Anniversary Symposium, Yokohama, Japan, March 2008 (Invited Speaker)
  • Leverhulme Climate Symposium, Cambridge and London, UK, March 2008 (Invited Speaker, Organising Committee)
  • European Research Course on Atmospheres (ERCA), Grenoble, France, January 2006 - 2011 (Invited Lecturer)
  • 'Aha Huliko'a Workshop on "Extreme Events", Honolulu, Hawaii, January 2007 (Invited Speaker)
  • RAPID International Science Conference, Birmingham, UK, October 2006 (Invited Speaker, Organising Committee)
  • MIT Global Change Forum, Vienna, Austria, September 2006 (Invited Speaker)
  • Dutch Climate Variability Symposium, Amsterdam, The Netherlands, September 2006 (Invited Speaker)
  • WCRP Workshop Understanding Sea-level Rise and Variability Workshop, Paris, France, June 2006 (Invited Speaker)
  • Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution 75th Anniversary Symposium, Woods Hole, MA, September 2005 (Invited Speaker)
  • Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory 50th Anniversary Symposium, Princeton, NJ, September 2005 (Invited Speaker)
  • IODP Paleoclimate Change Conference, London, UK, June 2005 (Invited Speaker)
  • CLIVAR North Atlantic Workshop, Kiel, Germany, September 2004 (Invited Speaker)
  • Deutsch-Österreichisch-Schweizerische Meteorologentagung, Karlsruhe, September 2004 (Invited Public Lecture)
  • First International CLIVAR Science Conference, Baltimore, June 2004 (Invited Speaker)
  • Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWA) International Conference, “Critical Elements of International Climate Policy”, Hamburg, Germany, May 2004 (Invited Speaker) 
  • International Conference on Earth System Modelling, Hamburg, Germany, September 2003 (Invited Speaker)
  • WOCE Final Conference, November 2002 (Invited Speaker, Organising Committee)
  • AGU Ocean Sciences Meeting, Hawaii, February 2002 (Invited Speaker)
  • AGU Fall Meeting, San Francisco, CA, December 2001 (Invited Speaker)
  • Climate and Ozone Conference, Bergen, Norway, November 2001 (Invited Speaker)
  • Cambridge University Summer School in Geophysical and Environmental Fluid Dynamics, Cambridge, UK, September 2001 (Invited Lecturer)
  • Oxford Spring School, Oxford, UK, April 2001 (Invited Lecturer)
  • Hanse Conference, Bremen, Germany, February 2001 (Invited Speaker)
  • Goldschmidt Conference, Oxford, UK, September 2000 (Invited Speaker)
  • MIT Global Change Forum, Berlin, Germany, June 2000 (Invited Speaker)

  • Chair of the MPG Advisory Committee for IT Infrastructure (BAR), 2020 to present (member since 2014)
  • Chair of the German National Strategy on Earth System Modelling (natESM) Steering Committee, 2019 to present
  • Board Member, German Climate Consortium (DKK), 2009 to present (Chair of the Board, 2009 to 2015)
  • Coordinating Lead Author, IPCC Assessment Report 6, Working Group I, Chapter  4: Future Global Climate: Scenario-Based Projections and Near-Term Information, 2018–2021
  • Drafting Author, IPCC Assessment Report 6, Technical Summary and Summary for Policymakers, 2019–2021
  • Fridtjof Nansen Medal Committee of the European Geosciences Union, 2013–2019; Chair 2016–2019
  • Chair of the Scientific Advisory Board, GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, 2012–2019
  • Alfred Wegener Union Medal Committee of the European Geosciences Union, 2011–2014
  • Core Writing Team, IPCC Assessment Report 5, Synthesis Report, 2011–2014
  • Coordinating Lead Author, IPCC Assessment Report 5, Working Group I, Chapter 9: Evaluation of Climate Models, 2010–2013
  • Lead Author, IPCC Assessment Report 5, Technical Summary, 2010–2013
  • Meteorological Office Scientific Advisory Committee (MOSAC), UK, 2009–2011
  • Review Board, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton NJ, 2009
  • Scientific Advisory Board (Chair 2009–2011), Leibniz Institute of Marine Science (IFM-GEOMAR), 2008–2011
  • Programme Advisory Group, NERC Thematic Programme "Rapid WATCH", since 2008
  • Advisory Board, Excellence Cluster "The Future Ocean", University of Kiel, 2007–2011
  • Scientific Advisory Committee, European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), 2006–2010
  • Joint Scientific Committee of the World Climate Research Programme (Vice Chair during 2012), 2005–2012
  • Scientific Advisory Board, Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD), 2005–2013
  • Lead Guest Editor, Carl Wunsch Special Issue of Journal of Physical Oceanography, 2005–2007
  • German National Committee for Global Change Research (NKGCF), Germany, 2006–2008
  • Scientific Advisory Board, Alfred Wegener Center, University of Graz, 2005–2006
  • CLIVAR International Scientific Steering Group, 2004–2007
  • Lead Organiser, Royal Society Discussion Meeting “Abrupt Climate Change”, 4/5 February 2003
  • Reviewer, Sonderforschungsbereich 460, Kiel, 2002
  • Organising Committee, WOCE Final Conference (November 2002)
  • Steering Group, Norwegian Ocean Climate Programme, 2002–2004
  • Steering Group, NERC Thematic Programme "Rapid Climate Change", 2001–2008
  • Chair of Research Development Committee, SOC, 2001–2003
  • Advisory Panel, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, 2000–2003
  • US National Research Council Panel, "Abrupt Climate Change", 2000–2002
  • Organising Committee, workshop on "Subtropical Overturning Cells", 2000
  • Chairman of NERC working group, town meeting, and writing team for successful Thematic Programme proposal, "Abrupt Climate Change and the Stability of the Ocean's Thermohaline Circulation", 1999–2000
  • National Science Foundation and NOAA Atlantic Review Panels, 1994, 1996
  • Co-Chair, US Ocean CLIVAR Modelling Implementation Steering Committee, 1995–1998
  • US WOCE Scientific Steering Committee, 1995–1999
  • US WOCE Indian Ocean Scientific Steering Committee, 1993–1997
  • Convener, The Oceans' Thermohaline Circulation and Interdecadal Climate Variability; AGU Spring Meeting, Baltimore, May 1994

Publications

Latest refereed publications

  • Engels, A., & Marotzke, J. (2023). Assessing the plausibility of climate futures. Environmental Research Letters, 18: 011006. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acaf90.

  • Hohenegger, C., Korn, P., Linardakis, L., Redler, R., Schnur, R., Adamidis, P., Bao, J., Bastin, S., Behravesh, M., Bergemann, M., Biercamp, J., Bockelmann, H., Brokopf, R., Brüggemann, N., Casaroli, L., Chegini, F., Datseris, G., Esch, M., George, G., Giorgetta, M. A., Gutjahr, O., Haak, H., Hanke, M., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jungclaus, J. H., Kern, M., Klocke, D., Kluft, L., Kölling, T., Kornblueh, L., Kosukhin, S., Kroll, C., Lee, J., Mauritsen, T., Mehlmann, C., Mieslinger, T., Naumann, A. K., Paccini, L., Peinado, A., Praturi, D. S., Putrasahan, D., Rast, S., Riddick, T., Roeber, N., Schmidt, H., Schulzweida, U., Schütte, F., Segura, H., Shevchenko, R., Singh, V., Specht, M., Stephan, C. C., von Storch, J. S., Vogel, R., Wengel, C., Winkler, M., Ziemen, F., Marotzke, J., & Stevens, B. (2023). ICON-Sapphire: simulating the components of the Earth System and their interactions at kilometer and subkilometer scales. Geoscientific Model Development, 16, 779-811. doi:10.5194/gmd-16-779-2023

  • Milinski, M., & Marotzke, J. (2022). Economic experiments support Ostrom's polycentric approach to mitigating climatic change. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 9: 442. doi:10.1057/s41599-022-01436-6.

  • Korn, P., Brüggemann, N., Jungclaus, J. H., Lorenz, S., Gutjahr, O., Haak, H., Linardakis, L., Mehlmann, C., Mikolajewicz, U., Notz, D., Putrasahan, D., Singh, V., von Storch, J. S., Zhu, X., & Marotzke, J. (2022). ICON-O: The Ocean Component of the ICON Earth System Model - Global simulation characteristics and local telescoping capability. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, e2021MS002952. doi:10.1029/2021MS002952.

  • Rohrschneider, T., Baehr, J., Lüschow, V., Putrasahan, D., & Marotzke, J. (2022). Nonlocal and local wind forcing dependence of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and its depth scale. Ocean Science, 18, 979-996. doi:10.5194/os-18-979-2022.

Complete list

  • Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens, J. (2023). Implications of the plausibility assessments for climate futures. In Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes (pp.70-71). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • López-Rivera, A., Gonçalves Gresse, E., Pagnone, A., Wilkens, J., Engels, A. & Marotzke, J. (2023). How the Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook corresponds to other global assessments of climate futures. In Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes (pp.16-17 (Box 1)). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Marotzke, J., Notz, D. & Li, C. (2023). Physical process assessments - Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) instability. In Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes (pp.150-151). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Marotzke, J. (2023). The Planck response and the stabilization of the global surface temperature. In Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes (pp.30 (Box 2)-). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Notz, D., Li, C., Marotzke, J. & Fröhlich, C. (2023). Physical process assessments - Polar ice-sheet melt: on the verge of tipping. In Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes (pp.147-149). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Notz, D., Li, C., Marotzke, J. & López-Rivera, A. (2023). Physical process assessments - Arctic sea-ice decline: the underrated power of linear change. In Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens , J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes (pp.144-147). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Pagnone, A., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Wilkens, J., Engels, A. & Marotzke, J. (2023). Plausibility of attaining the Paris Agreement temperature goals. In Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens , J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes (pp.34-49). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Wilkens, J., Pagnone, A., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Aykut, S., Rödder, S., Sillmann, J. & Wiener, A. (2023). CLICCS Plausibility Assessment Framework : An integrative approach to assess the plausibility of climate future scenarios. In Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gonçalves Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - social drivers and physical processes (pp.19-30). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Held, H., Engels, A., Marotzke, J. & Stammer, D. (2021). Implications for climate futures. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gresse, E., Hedemann, C. & Petzold, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.63-64). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Held, H., Aykut, S., Hedemann, C., Li, C., Marotzke, J., Petzold, J. & Schneider, U. (2021). Plausibility of model-based emissions scenarios. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gresse, E., Hedemann, C. & Petzold, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.21-26). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Lee, J.-Y., Marotzke, J., Bala, G., Cao, L., Corti, S., Dunne, J., Engelbrecht, F., Fischer, E., Fyfe, J., Jones, C., Maycock, A., Mutemi, J., Ndiaye, O., Panickal, S. & Zhou, T. (2021). Future global climate: scenario-based projections and near-term information. In Masson-Delmotte, V., Zhai, P., Pirani, A., Connors, S., Péan, C., Berger, S., Caud, N., Chen, Y., Goldfarb, L., Gomis, M., Huang, M., Leitzell, K., Lonnoy, E., Matthews, J., Maycock, T., Waterfield, T., Yelekçi, O., Yu, R. & Zhou, B. (Eds.), Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp.553-672). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/9781009157896.006 [publisher-version]
  • Marotzke, J., Hedemann, C., Milinski, S. & Suarez-Gutierrez, L. (2021). Which temperature trends can we expect for the 21st century. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gresse, E., Hedemann, C. & Petzold, J. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.53-59). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gresse, E., Hedemann, C. & Petzold, J. (2021). Introduction. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J. & Gresse, E. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.11-13). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gresse, E., Hedemann, C. & Petzold, J. (2021). Epistemological challenges for assessing plausibility. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J. & Gresse, E. (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.15-18). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [publisher-version]
  • Marotzke, J. (2015). Vorhersagen sind schwierig ... : Möglichkeiten und Grenzen von Klimamodellen. In Marotzke, J. & Stratmann, M. (Eds.), Die Zukunft des Klimas (pp.9-22). München: C.H. Beck.
  • Milinski, M. & Marotzke, J. (2015). Das Klimaspiel: Warum scheitern Klimaverhandlungen?. In Marotzke, J. & Stratmann, M. (Eds.), Die Zukunft des Klimas (pp.93-103). München: C.H. Beck.
  • Flato, G., Marotzke, J., Abiodun, B., Braconnot, P., Chou, S., Collins, W., Cox, P., Driouech, F., Emori, S., Eyring, V., Forest, C., Gleckler, P., Guilyardi, E., Jakob, C., Kattsov, V., Reason, C., Rummukainen, M. & more, . (2014). Evaluation of climate models. In Stocker, T., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M., Allen, S., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V. & Midgley, P. (Eds.), Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (pp.741-866). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. doi:10.1017/CBO9781107415324.020 [publisher-version]
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  • Marotzke, J. (2021). Physik und Klima: Zum Physik-Nobelpreis 2021 an Syukuro Manabe und Klaus Hasselmann. Physik Journal, 20(12), 26-29.
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  • Hedemann, C. & Marotzke, J. (2018). Die Verlangsamung der Oberflächenerwärmung und ihr unerklärter Ursprung (The unexplained origin of the surface-warming slowdown). Jahrbuch / Max-Planck-Gesellschaft, 2017. [any-fulltext]
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  • Marotzke, J., Fu, L. & Tziperman, E. (2007). Carl Wunsch Special Issue - Preface. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 37, 133-134. doi:10.1175/JPO9030.1 [publisher-version]
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  • Marotzke, J., Lawton, J., Marsh, R. & McCave, I. (2003). Abrupt climate change: evidence, mechanism's and implications - Papers of a discussion meeting held at the Royal Society. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London Series A - Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences, 361(1810), 1829-1830. doi:10.1098/rsta.2003.1254 [publisher-version]
  • Marotzke, J., Cunningham, S. & Bryden, H. (2002). Monitoring the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5°N. [Proposal to NERC]. [any-fulltext]
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  • Stammer, D., Wunsch, C., Giering, R., Zhang, Q., Marotzke, J., Marshall, J. & Hill, C. (1997). The global ocean circulation estimated from TOPEX/POSEIDON altimetry and the MIT general circulation model. MIT Center for Global Change Science Report, No. 49.
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