Victor Brovkin

Abteilung Klimadynamik
Gruppe Wechselwirkung Klima-Biosphäre
Position Gruppenleiter*in
Telefon +49 40 41173-339
Email victor.brovkin@mpimet.mpg.de
Raum B 327

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  • Goosse, H., Brovkin, V., Meissner, K., Menviel, L., Mouchet, A., Muscheler, R. & Nilson, A. (2024). Atmospheric D14C in the northern and southern hemisphere over the past two millennia: role of production rate, southern hemisphere westerly winds and ocean circulation changes. Quaternary Science Reviews, 326: 108502. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.108502
  • Rockström, J., Kotzé, L., Milutinovic, S., Biermann, F., Brovkin, V., Donges, J., Ebbeson, J., French, D., Gupta, J., Kim, R., Lenton, T., Lenzi, D., Nakicenovic, N., Neumann, B., Schuppert, F., Winkelmann, R., Bosselmann, K., Folke, C., Lucht, W., Schlosberg, D., Richardson, K. & Steffen, W. (2024). The planetary commons: A new paradigm for safeguarding Earth- regulating systems in the Anthropocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 121. doi:10.1073/pnas.2301531121 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Wunderling, N., von der Heydt, A., Aksenov, Y., Barker, S., Bastiaansen, R., Brovkin, V., Brunetti, M., Couplet, V., Kleinen, T., Lear, C., Lohmann, J., Roman-Cuesta, R., Sinet, S., Swingedouw, D., Winkelmann, R., Anand, P., Barichivich, J., Bathiany, S., Baudena, M., Bruun, J., Chiessi, C., Coxall, H., Docquier, D., Dönges, J., Falkena, S., Klose, A., Obura, D., Rocha, J., Rynders, S., Steinert, N. & Willeit, M. (2024). Climate tipping point interactions and cascades: a review. Earth System Dynamics, 15, 41-74. doi:10.5194/esd-15-41-2024 [publisher-version]
  • Schädel, C., Rogers, B., Lawrence , D., Koven , C., Brovkin, V., Burke, E., Genet, H., Huntzinger, D., Jafarov, E., McGuire, A., Riley, W. & Natali, S. (2024). Earth system models must include permafrost carbon processes. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/s41558-023-01909-9
  • Dunkl, I., Lovenduski, N., Collalti, A., Arora, V., Ilyina, T. & Brovkin, V. (2023). Gross primary productivity and the predictability of CO2: more uncertainty in what we predict than how well we predict it. Biogeosciences, 20, 3523-3538. doi:10.5194/bg-20-3523-2023 [pre-print][supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • Rehder, Z., Kleinen, T., Kutzbach, L., Stepanenko, V., Langer, M. & Brovkin, V. (2023). Simulated methane emissions from Arctic ponds are highly sensitive to warming. Biogeosciences, 20, 2837-2855. doi:10.5194/bg-20-2837-2023 [supplementary-material][publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • de Vrese, P., Beckebanze, L., Galera, L., Holl, D., Kleinen, T., Kutzbach, L., Rehder, Z. & Brovkin, V. (2023). Sensitivity of Arctic CH4 emissions to landscape wetness diminished by atmospheric feedbacks. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/s41558-023-01715-3 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Willeit, M., Ilyina, T., Liu, B., Heinze, C., Perrette, M., Heinemann, M., Dalmonech, D., Brovkin, V., Munhoven, G., Boerker, J., Hartmann, J., Mujalli, G. & Ganopolski, A. (2023). The earth system model CLIMBER-X v1.0 - Part 2: The global carbon cycle. Geoscientific Model Development, 16, 3501-3534. doi:10.5194/gmd-16-3501-2023 [publisher-version]
  • Miesner, F., Overduin, P., Grosse, G., Strauss, J., Langer, M., Westermann, S., von Deimling, T., Brovkin, V. & Arndt, S. (2023). Subsea permafrost organic carbon stocks are large and of dominantly low reactivity. Scientific Reports, 13: 9425. doi:10.1038/s41598-023-36471-z [publisher-version]
  • Kleinen, T., Gromov, S., Steil, B. & Brovkin, V. (2023). Atmospheric methane since the last glacial maximum was driven by wetland sources. Climate of the Past, 19, 1081-1099. doi:10.5194/cp-19-1081-2023 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • de Vrese, P., Georgievski, G., Gonzalez Rouco, J., Notz, D., Stacke, T., Steinert, N., Wilkenskjeld, S. & Brovkin, V. (2023). Representation of soil hydrology in permafrost regions may explain large part of inter-model spread in simulated Arctic and Subarctic climate. The Cryosphere, 17, 2095-2118. doi:10.5194/tc-17-2095-2023 [publisher-version]
  • Lapola, D., Pinho, P., Barlow, J., Aragão, L., Berenguer, E., Carmenta, R., Liddy, H., Seixas, H., Silva, C., Silva, C., Alencar, A., Anderson, L., Armenteras, D., Brovkin, V., Calders, K., Chambers, J., Chini, L., Costa, M., Faria, B., Fearnside, P., Ferreira, J., Gatti, L., Gutierrez-Velez, V., Han, Z., Hibbard, K., Koven, C., Lawrence, P., Pongratz, J., Portela, B., Rounsevell, M., Ruane, A., Schaldach, R., da Silva, S., von Randow, C. & Walker, W. (2023). The drivers and impacts of Amazon forest degradation. Science, 379: eabp8622. doi:10.1126/science.abp8622
  • Brovkin, V. & Gayler, V. (2022). Rückkopplungen zwischen Klima und globalem Kohlenstoffkreislauf. Promet, 105(Grundlagen des globalen Kohlenstoffkreislaufs), 61-68. doi:10.5676/DWD_pub/promet_105_08 [publisher-version]
  • Hardouin, L., Delire, C., Decharme, B., M.Lawrence, D., Nabel, J., Brovkin, V., Collier, N., Fisher, R., Hoffman, F., Koven, C., Seferian, R. & Stacke, T. (2022). Uncertainty in land carbon budget simulated by terrestrial biosphere models: the role of atmospheric forcing. Environmental Research Letters, 17: 094033. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac888d [publisher-version]
  • Duque-Villegas, M., Claussen, M., Brovkin, V. & Kleinen, T. (2022). Effects of orbital forcing, greenhouse gases and ice sheets on Saharan greening in past and future multi-millennia. Climate of the Past, 18, 1897-1914. doi:10.5194/cp-18-1897-2022 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • Jungclaus, J., Lorenz, S., Schmidt, H., Brovkin, V., Brüggemann, N., Chegini, F., Crueger, T., de Vrese, P., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Gutjahr, O., Haak, H., Hagemann , S., Hanke, M., Ilyina, T., Korn, P., Kröger, J., Linardakis, L., Mehlmann, C., Mikolajewicz, U., Müller, W., Nabel, J., Notz, D., Pohlmann, H., Putrasahan, D., Raddatz, T., Ramme, L., Redler, R., Reick, C., Riddick, T., Sam, T., Schneck, R., Schnur, R., Schupfner, M., von Storch, J.-S., Wachsmann, F., Wieners, K.-H., Ziemen, F., Stevens, B., Marotzke, J. & Claussen, M. (2022). The ICON Earth System Model Version 1.0. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14: e2021MS002813. doi:10.1029/2021MS002813 [publisher-version]
  • Wilkenskjeld, S., Miesner, F., Overduin, P., Puglini, M. & Brovkin, V. (2022). Strong increase in thawing of subsea permafrost in the 22nd century caused by anthropogenic climate change. The Cryosphere, 16, 1057-1069. doi:10.5194/tc-16-1057-2022 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Qiu, C., Ciais, P., Zhu, D., Guenet, B., Chang, J., Chaudhary, N., Kleinen, T., Li, X., Müller, J., Xi, Y., Zhang, W., Ballantyne, A., Brewer, S., Brovkin, V., Charman, D., Gustafson, A., Gallego-Sala, A., Gasser, T., Holden, J., Joos, F., Kwon, M., Lauerwald, R., Miller, P., Peng, S., Page, S., Smith, B., Stocker, B., Sannel, A., Salmon, E., Schurgers, G., Shurpali, N., Wårlind, D. & Westermann, S. (2022). A strong mitigation scenario maintains climate neutrality of northern peatlands. One Earth, 5, 86-97. doi:10.1016/j.oneear.2021.12.008 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Nielsen, D., Pieper, P., Barkhordarian, A., Overduin, P., Ilyina, T., Brovkin, V., Baehr, J. & Dobrynin, M. (2022). Increase in Arctic coastal erosion and its sensitivity to warming in the twenty-first century. Nature Climate Change. doi:10.1038/s41558-022-01281-0 [publisher-version]
  • Goosse, H., Barriat, P.-Y., Brovkin, V., Klein, F., Meissner, K., Menviel, L. & Mouchet, A. (2022). Changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration over the past two millennia: contribution of climate variability, land-use and Southern Ocean dynamics. Climate Dynamics, 58, 2957-2979. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-06078-z
  • Dunkl, I., Spring, A., Friedlingstein, P. & Brovkin, V. (2021). Process-based analysis of terrestrial carbon flux predictability. Earth System Science Data, 12, 1413-1426. doi:10.5194/esd-12-1413-2021 [pre-print][supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • Spring, A., Dunkl, I., Li, H., Brovkin, V. & Ilyina, T. (2021). Trivial improvements of predictive skill due to direct reconstruction of global carbon cycle. Earth System Dynamics, 12, 1139-1167. doi:10.5194/esd-12-1139-2021 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • Winkler, A., Myneni, R., Hannart, A., Sitch, S., Haverd, V., Lombardozzi, D., Arora, V., Pongratz, J., Nabel, J., Goll, D., Kato, E., Tian, H., Arneth, A., Friedlingstein, P., Jain, A., Zaehle , S. & Brovkin, V. (2021). Slowdown of the greening trend in natural vegetation with further rise in atmospheric CO2. Biogeosciences, 18, 4985-5010. doi:10.5194/bg-18-4985-2021 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Kleinen, T., Gromov, S., Steil, B. & Brovkin, V. (2021). Atmospheric methane underestimated in future climate projections. Environmental Research Letters, 16: 094006. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac1814 [supplementary-material][publisher-version][any-fulltext]
  • Brovkin, V., Brook, E., Williams, J., Bathiany, S., Lenton, T., Barton, M., DeConto, R., Donges, J., Ganopolski, A., McManus, J., Praetorius, S., de Vernal, A., Abe-Ouchi, A., Cheng, H., Claussen, M., Crucifix, M., Gallopín, G., Iglesias, V., Kaufman, D., Kleinen, T., Lambert, F., van der Leeuw, S., Liddy, H., Loutre, M.-F., McGee, D., Rehfeld, K., Rhodes, R., Seddon, A., Trauth, M., Vanderveken, L. & Yu, Z. (2021). Past abrupt changes, tipping points and cascading impacts in the Earth system. Nature Geoscience, 14, 550-558. doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00790-5 [post-print]
  • Boysen, L., Brovkin, V., Wårlind, D., Peano, D., Lansø, A., Delire, C., Burke, E., Poeplau, C. & Don, A. (2021). Evaluation of soil carbon dynamics after forest cover change in CMIP6 land models using chronosequences. Environmental Research Letters, 16: 074030. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac0be1 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Yu, Z., Joos, F., Bauska, T., Stocker, B., Fischer, H., Loisel, J., Brovkin, V., Hugelius, G., Nehrbass-Ahles, C., Kleinen, T. & Schmitt, J. (2021). No support for carbon storage of >1000 GtC in northern peatlands (Comment on the paper by Nichols & Peteet (2019) in Nature Geoscience, 12, 917-921). Nature Geoscience, 14, 465-467. doi:10.1038/s41561-021-00769-2 [publisher-version]
  • de Vrese, P., Stacke, T., Caves Rugenstein, J., Goodman, J. & Brovkin, V. (2021). Snowfall-albedo feedbacks could have led to deglaciation of Snowball Earth starting from mid-latitudes. Communications Earth & Environment, 2: 91. doi:10.1038/s43247-021-00160-4 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • de Vrese, P. & Brovkin, V. (2021). Timescales of the permafrost carbon cycle and legacy effects of temperature overshoot scenarios. Nature Communications, 12: 2688. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-23010-5 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Liddicoat, S., Wiltshire, A., Jones, C., Arora, V., Brovkin, V., Cadule, P., Hajima, T., Lawrence, D., Pongratz, J., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Tjiputra, J. & Ziehn, T. (2021). Compatible fossil fuel CO2 emissions in the CMIP6 earth system models' historical and shared socioeconomic pathway experiments of the twenty-first century. Journal of Climate, 34, 2853-2875. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0991.1 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • de Vrese, P., Stacke, T., Kleinen, T. & Brovkin, V. (2021). Diverging responses of high-latitude CO2 and CH4 emissions in idealized climate change scenarios. The Cryosphere, 15, 1097-1130. doi:10.5194/tc-15-1097-2021 [publisher-version]
  • Tebaldi, C., Debeire, K., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Fyfe, J., Friedlingstein, P., Knutti, R., Lowe, J., O'Neill, B., Sanderson, B., Van Vuuren, D., Riahi, K., Meinshausen, M., Nicholls, Z., Tokarska, K., Hurtt, G., Kriegler, E., Meehl, G., Moss, R., Bauer, S., Boucher, O., Brovkin, V., Yhb, Y., Dix, M., Gualdi, S., Guo, H., John, J., Kharin, S., Kim, Y., Koshiro, T., Ma, L., Olivié, D., Panickal, S., Qiao, F., Rong, X., Rosenbloom, N., Schupfner, M., Séférian, R., Sellar, A., Semmler, T., Shi, X., Song, Z., Steger, C., Stouffer, R., Swart, N., Tachiiri, K., Tang, Q., Tatebe, H., Voldoire, A., Volodin, E., Wyser, K., Xin, X., Yang, S., Yu, Y. & Ziehn, T. (2021). Climate model projections from the Scenario Model Intercomparison Project (ScenarioMIP) of CMIP6. Earth System Dynamics, 12, 253-293. doi:10.5194/esd-12-253-2021 [publisher-version]
  • Ito, A., Hajima, T., Lawrence, D., Brovkin, V., Delire, C., Guenet, B., Jones, C., Malyshev, S., Materia, S., McDermid, S., Peano, D., Pongratz, J., Robertson, E., Shevliakova, E., Vuichard, N., Warlind, D., Wiltshire, A. & Ziehn, T. (2020). Soil carbon sequestration simulated in CMIP6-LUMIP models: implications for climatic mitigation. Environmental Research Letters, 15: 124061. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/abc912 [publisher-version]
  • Loisel, J., Gallego-Sala, A., Amesbury, M., Magnan, G., Anshari, G., Beilman, D., Benavides, J., Blewett, J., Camill, P., Charman, D., Chawchai, S., Hedgpeth, A., Kleinen, T., Korhola, A., Large, D., Mansilla, C., Müller, J., van Bellen, S., West, J., Yu, Z., Bubier, J., Garneau, M., Moore, T., Sannel, A., Page, S., Väliranta, M., Bechtold, M., Brovkin, V., Cole, L., Chanton, J., Christensen, T., Davies, M., Vleeschouwer, F., Finkelstein, S., Frolking, S., Gałka, M., Gandois, L., Girkin, N., Harris, L., Heinemeyer, A., Hoyt, A., Jones, M., Joos, F., Juutinen, S., Kaiser, K., Lacourse, T., Lamentowicz, M., Larmola, T., Leifeld, J., Lohila, A., Milner, A., Minkkinen, K., Moss, P., Naafs, B., Nichols, J., O’Donnell, J., Payne, R., Philben, M., Piilo, S., Quillet, A., Ratnayake, A., Roland, T., Sjögersten, S., Sonnentag, O., Swindles, G., Swinnen, W., Talbot, J., Treat, C., Valach, A. & Wu, J. (2020). Expert assessment of future vulnerability of the global peatland carbon sink. Nature Climate Change, 11, 70-77. doi:10.1038/s41558-020-00944-0
  • Boysen, L., Brovkin, V., Pongratz, J., Lawrence, D., Lawrence, P., Vuichards, N., Peylin, P., Liddicoat, S., Hajima, T., Zhang, Y., Rocher, M., Delire, C., Séférian, R., Arora, V., Nieradzik, L., Anthoni, P., Thiery, W., Lague, M., Lawrence, D. & Lo, M.-H. (2020). Global climate response to idealized deforestation in CMIP6 models. Biogeosciences, 17, 5615-5638. doi:10.5194/bg-17-5615-2020 [publisher-version][supplementary-material][supplementary-material]
  • Davies-Barnard, T., Meyerholt, J., Zaehle, S., Friedlingstein, P., Brovkin, V., Fan, Y., Fisher, R., Jones, C., Lee, H., Peano, D., Smith, B., Wårlind, D. & Wiltshire, A. (2020). Nitrogen cycling in CMIP6 land surface models: progress and limitations. Biogeosciences, 17, 5129-5148. doi:10.5194/bg-2019-513 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Arora, V., Katavouta, A., Williams, R., Jones, C., Brovkin, V., Friedlingstein, P., Schwinger, J., Bopp, L., Boucher, O., Cadule, P., Chamberlain, M., Christian, J., Delire, C., Fisher, R., Hajima, T., Ilyina, T., Joetzjer, E., Kawamiya, M., Koven, C., Krasting, J., Law, R., Lawrence, D., Lenton, A., Lindsay, K., Pongratz, J., Raddatz, T., Seferian, R., Tachiiri, K., Tjiputra, J., Wiltshire, A., Wu, T. & Ziehn, T. (2020). Carbon-concentration and carbon-climate feedbacks in CMIP6 models and their comparison to CMIP5 models. Biogeosciences, 17, 4173-4222. doi:10.5194/bg-17-4173-2020 [publisher-version]
  • MacDougall, A., Frölicher, T., Jones, C., Rogelj, J., Matthews, H., Zickfeld, K., Arora, V., Barrett, N., Brovkin, V., Burger, F., Eby, M., Eliseev, A., Hajima, T., Holden, P., Jeltsch-Thömmes, A., Koven, C., Mengis, N., Menviel, L., Michou, M., Mokhov, I., Oka, A., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Shaffer, G., Sokolov, A., Tachiiri, K., Tjiputra, J., Wiltshire, A. & Ziehn, T. (2020). Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2. Biogeosciences, 17, 2987-3016. doi:10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020 [publisher-version]
  • Puglini , M., Brovkin, V., Reginer, P. & Arndt, S. (2020). Assessing the potential for non-turbulent methane escape from East Siberian Arctic Shelf. Biogeosciences, 17, 3247-3275. doi:10.5194/bg-17-3247-2020 [publisher-version]
  • Kleinen, T., Mikolajewicz, U. & Brovkin, V. (2020). Terrestrial methane emissions from the Last Glacial Maximum to the preindustrial period. Climate of the Past, 16, 575-595. doi:10.5194/cp-16-575-2020 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • Jenny, J.-P., Koirala, S., Gregory-Eaves, I., Francus, P., Ahrens, B., Brovkin, V., Ojala, A., Zolitschka, B., Bader, J. & Carvalhais, N. (2020). Reply to Li et al.: Human societies began to play a significant role in global sediment transfer 4,000 years ago. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 117, 5571-5572. doi:10.1073/pnas.1922723117 [publisher-version]
  • Alexandrov, G., Brovkin, V., Kleinen, T. & Yu, Z. (2020). The capacity of northern peatlands for long-term carbon sequestration. Biogeosciences, 17, 47-54. doi:10.5194/bg-17-47-2020 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Jenny, J.-P., Koirala, S., Gregory-Eaves, I., Francus, P., Niemann, C., Ahrens, B., Brovkin, V., Baud, A., Ojala, A., Normandeau, A., Zolitschka, B. & Carvalhais, N. (2019). Human and climate global-scale imprint on sediment transfer during the Holocene. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 116, 22972-22976. doi:10.1073/pnas.1908179116 [publisher-version][supplementary-material][supplementary-material]
  • Winkler, A., Myneni, R. & Brovkin, V. (2019). Investigating the applicability of emergent constraints. Earth System Dynamics, 10, 501-523. doi:10.5194/esd-10-501-2019 [publisher-version]
  • Park, T., Chen, C., Macias-Fauria, M., Tømmervik, H., Choi, S., Winkler, A., Bhatt, U., Walker, D., Piao, S., Brovkin, V., Nemani, R. & Myneni, R. (2019). Changes in timing of seasonal peak photosynthetic activity in northern ecosystems. Global Change Biology, 25, 2382-2395. doi:10.1111/gcb.14638
  • Brovkin, V., Lorenz, S., Raddatz, T., Ilyina, T., Heinze , M., Stemmler, I., Toohey, M. & Claussen, M. (2019). What was the source of the atmospheric CO2 increase during Holocene?. Biogeosciences, 16, 2543-2555. doi:10.5194/bg-16-2543-2019 [publisher-version]
  • Mauritsen, T., Bader, J., Becker, T., Behrens, J., Bittner, M., Brokopf, R., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fast, I., Fiedler, S., Popke, D., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Goll, D., Haak, H., Hagemann, S., Hedemann, C., Hohenegger, C., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jiménez de la Cuesta Otero, D., Jungclaus, J., Kleinen, T., Kloster, S., Kracher, D., Kinne, S., Kleberg, D., Lasslop, G., Kornblueh, L., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Meraner, K., Mikolajewicz, U., Modali, K., Möbis, B., Müller, W., Nabel, J., Nam, C., Notz, D., Nyawira, S., Paulsen, H., Peters, K., Pincus, R., Pohlmann, H., Pongratz, J., Popp, M., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Reick, C., Rohrschneider, T., Schemann, V., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U., Six, K., Stein, L., Stemmler, I., Stevens, B., von Storch, J.-S., Tian, F., Voigt, A., de Vrese, P., Wieners, K.-H., Wilkenskjeld, S., Roeckner, E. & Winkler, A. (2019). Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO2. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11, 998-1038. doi:10.1029/2018MS001400 [publisher-version]
  • Abis, B. & Brovkin, V. (2019). Alternative tree-cover states of the boreal ecosystem: a conceptual model. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 28, 612-627. doi:10.1111/geb.12880 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • Willeit, M., Ganopolski, A., Calov, R. & Brovkin, V. (2019). Mid-Pleistocene transition in glacial cycles explained by declining CO2 and regolith removal. Science Advances, 5: eaav7337. doi:10.1126/sciadv.aav7337 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
  • Treat, C., Kleinen, T., Broothaerts, N., Dalton, A., Dommain, R., Douglas, T., Drexler, J., Finkelstein, S., Grosse, G., Hope, G., Hutchings, J., Jones, M., Kuhry, P., Lacourse, T., Lähteenoja, O., Loisel, J., Notebaert, B., Payne, R., Peteet, D., Sannel, A., Stelling, J., Strauss, J., Swindles, G., Talbot, J., Tarnocai, C., Verstraeten, G., Williams, C., Xia, Z., Yu, Z., Väliranta, M., Hättestrand, M., Alexanderson, H. & Brovkin, V. (2019). Widespread global peatland establishment and persistence over the last 130,000 y. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 116, 4822-4827. doi:10.1073/pnas.1813305116 [publisher-version][supplementary-material][supplementary-material][supplementary-material]
  • Winkler, A., Myneni, R., Alexandrov, G. & Brovkin, V. (2019). Earth system models underestimate Carbon fixation by plants in the high lattitudes. Nature Communications, 10: 885. doi:10.1038/s41467-019-08633-z [publisher-version]
  • Dallmeyer, A., Claussen, M. & Brovkin, V. (2019). Harmonising plant funtional type distributions for evaluating Earth System Models. Climate of the Past, 15, 335-366. doi:10.5194/cp-15-335-2019 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • Chen, C., Park, T., Wang, X., Piao, S., Xu, B., Chaturvedi, R., Fuchs, R., Brovkin, V., Ciais, P., Fensholt, R., Tømmervik, H., Bala, G., Zhu, Z., Nemani, R. & Myneni, R. (2019). China and India lead in greening of the world through land-use management. Nature Sustainability, 2, 122-129. doi:10.1038/s41893-019-0220-7
  • Schneider von Deimling, T., Kleinen, T., Hugelius, G., Knoblauch, C., Beer, C. & Brovkin, V. (2018). Long-term deglacial permafrost carbon dynamics in MPI-ESM. Climate of the Past, 14, 2011-2036. doi:10.5194/cp-14-2011-2018 [publisher-version]
  • Riddick, T., Brovkin, V., Hagemann, S. & Mikolajewicz, U. (2018). Dynamic hydrological discharge modelling for coupled climate model simulations of the last glacial cycle: the MPI-DynamicHD model version 3.0. Geoscientific Model Development, 11, 4291-4316. doi:10.5194/gmd-11-4291-2018 [publisher-version][supplementary-material]
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  • Claussen, M., Selent, K., Brovkin, V., Raddatz, T. & Gayler, V. (2013). Impact of CO2 and climate on Last Glacial maximum vegetation – a factor separation. Biogeosciences, 10, 3593-3604. doi:10.5194/bg-10-3593-2013 [publisher-version]
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  • Melton, J., Wania, R., Hodson, E., Poulter, B., Ringeval, B., Spahni, R., Bohn, T., Avis, C., Beerling, D., Chen, G., Eliseev, A., Denisov, S., Hopcroft, P., Lettenmaier, D., Riley, W., Singarayer, J., Subin, Z., Tian, H., Zürcher, S., Brovkin, V., van Bodegom, P., Kleinen, T., Yu, Z. & Kaplan, J. (2013). Present state of global wetland extent and wetland methane modelling: conclusions from a model intercomparison project (WETCHIMP). Biogeosciences, 10, 753-788. doi:10.5194/bg-10-753-2013 [publisher-version]
  • Giorgetta, M., Jungclaus, J., Reick, C., Legutke, S., Bader, J., Böttinger, M., Brovkin, V., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Fieg, K., Glushak, K., Gayler, V., Haak, H., Hollweg, H.-D., Ilyina, T., Kinne, S., Kornblueh, L., Matei, D., Mauritsen, T., Mikolajewicz, U., Mueller, W., Notz, D., Pithan, F., Raddatz, T., Rast, S., Redler, R., Roeckner, E., Schmidt, H., Schnur, R., Segschneider, J., Six, K., Stockhause, M., Timmreck, C., Wegner, J., Widmann, H., Wieners, K.-H., Claussen, M., Marotzke, J. & Stevens, B. (2013). Climate and carbon cycle changes from 1850 to 2100 in MPI-ESM simulations for the coupled model intercomparison project phase 5. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 572-597. doi:10.1002/jame.20038 [publisher-version]
  • Seneviratne, S., Wilhelm, M., Stanelle, T., van den Hurk, B., Hagemann, S., Berg, A., Cheruy, F., Higgins, M., Meier, A., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Dufresne, J.-L., Findell, K., Lawrence, D., Malyshev, S. & Smith, B. (2013). Impact of soil moisture-climate feedbacks on CMIP5 projections: First results from the GLACE-CMIP5 experiment. Geophysical Research Letters, 40, 5212-5217. doi:10.1002/grl.50956 [publisher-version]
  • Jones, C., Robertson, E., Arora, V., Friedlingstein, P., Shevliakova, E., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V., Hajima, T., Kato, E., Kawamiya, M., Liddicoat, S., Lindsay, K., Reick, C., Roelandt, C., Segschneider, J. & Tjiputra, J. (2013). 21st century compatible CO2 emissions and airborne fraction simulated by CMIP5 earth system models under 4 representative concentration pathways. Journal of Climate, 26, 4398 -4413. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00554.1 [publisher-version]
  • Dass, P., Müller, C., Brovkin, V. & Cramer, W. (2013). Can bioenergy cropping compensate high carbon emissions from large-scale deforestation of mid to high latitudes?. Earth System Dynamics, 4, 409-424. doi:10.5194/esd-4-409-2013 [publisher-version]
  • Kehrwald, N., Whitlock, C., Barbante, C., Brovkin, V., Daniau, A.-L., Kaplan, J., Marlon, J., Power, M., Thonicke, K. & van der Werf, G. (2013). Recent advancements in wildfire research: linking paleofire data, modern observations and modeling. Eos Transactions, 94, 421-423. doi:10.1002/2013EO460001 [publisher-version]
  • Pitman, A., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Avila, F., Alexander, L., Boisier, J.-P., Brovkin, V., Delire, C., Cruz, F., Donat, M., Gayler, V., van den Hurk, B., Reick, C. & Voldoire, A. (2012). Effects of land cover change on temperature. Earth System Dynamics, 3, 213-231. doi:10.5194/esd-3-213-2012 [publisher-version]
  • Port, U., Brovkin, V. & Claussen, M. (2012). The influence of vegetation dynamics on anthropogenic climate change. Earth System Dynamics, 3, 233-243. doi:10.5194/esd-3-233-2012 [publisher-version]
  • Tzedakis, P., Wolff, E., Skinner, L., Brovkin, V., Hodell, D., McManus, J. & Raynaud, D. (2012). Can we predict the duration of an interglacial?. Climate of the Past, 8, 1473-1485. doi:10.5194/cp-8-1473-2012 [publisher-version]
  • Goll, D., Brovkin, V., Parida, B., Reick, C., Kattge, J., Reich, P., van Bodegom, P. & Niinemets, Ü. (2012). Nutrient limitation reduces land carbon uptake in simulations with a model of combined carbon, nitrogen and phosphorus cycling. Biogeosciences, 9, 3547-3569. doi:10.5194/bg-9-3547-2012 [publisher-version]
  • Schneider von Deimling, T., Meinshausen, M., Levermann, A., Huber, V., Frieler, K., Lawrence, D. & Brovkin, V. (2012). Estimating the near-surface permafrost-carbon feedback on global warming. Biogeosciences, 9, 649-665. doi:10.5194/bg-9-649-2012 [supplementary-material][publisher-version]
  • Brovkin, V., van Bodegom, P., Kleinen, T., Wirth, C., Cornwell, W., Cornelissen, J. & Kattge, J. (2012). Plant-driven variation in decomposition rates improves projections of global litter stock distribution. Biogeosciences, 9, 565-576. doi:10.5194/bg-9-565-2012 [publisher-version]
  • Brovkin, V., Ganopolski, A., Archer, D. & Munhoven, G. (2012). Glacial CO2 cycle as a succession of key physical and biogeochemical processes. Climate of the Past, 8, 251-264. doi:10.5194/cp-8-251-2012 [publisher-version]
  • de Noblet-Ducoudre, N., Boisier, J., Pitman, A., Bonan, G., Brovkin, V., Cruz, F., Delire, C., Gayler, V., van den Hurk, B., Lawrence, P., van der Molen, M., Muller, C., Reick, C., Strengers, B. & Voldoire, A. (2012). Determining robust impacts of land-use-induced land cover changes on surface climate over North America and Eurasia: Results from the first set of LUCID experiments. Journal of Climate, 25, 3261-3281. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00338.1
  • Kleinen, T., Brovkin, V. & Schuldt, R. (2012). A dynamic model of wetland extent and peat accumulation: Results for the Holocene. Biogeosciences, 9, 235-248. doi:10.5194/bg-9-235-2012 [publisher-version]
  • Rietkerk, M., Brovkin, V., van Bodegom, P., Claussen, M., Dekker, S., Dijkstra, H., Goryachkin, S., Kabat, P., van Nes, E., Neutel, A.-M., Nicholson, S., Nobre, C., Petoukhov, V., Provenzale, A., Scheffer, M. & Seneviratne, S. (2011). Local ecosystem feedbacks and critical transitions in the climate. Ecological Complexity, 8(3), 223-228. doi:10.1016/j.ecocom.2011.03.001
  • Kleinen, T., Tarasov, P., Brovkin, V., Andreev, A. & Stebich, M. (2011). Comparison of modeled and reconstructed changes in forest cover through the past 8000 years: Eurasian perspective. The Holocene, 21(5), 723-734. doi:10.1177/0959683610386980
  • Vamborg, F., Brovkin, V. & Claussen, M. (2011). The effect of dynamic background albedo scheme on Sahel/Sahara precipitation during the Mid-Holocene. Climate of the Past, 7, 117-131. doi:10.5194/cp-7-117-2011 [publisher-version]
  • Brovkin, V. (2011). Indelible footprint. Nature Geoscience, 4, 496. doi:10.1038/ngeo1220
  • Andreev, A., Schirrmeister, L., Tarasov, P., Ganopolski, A., Brovkin, V., Siegert, C., Wetterich, S. & Hubberten, H.-W. (2011). Vegetation and climate history in the Laptev Sea region (Arctic Siberia) during Late Quaternary inferred from pollen records. Quaternary Science Reviews, 30, 2182-2199. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2010.12.026
  • Bouttes, N., Paillard, D., Roche, D., Brovkin, V. & Bopp, L. (2011). Last glacial maximum CO₂ and δ13C successfully reconciled. Geophysical Research Letters, 38: L02705. doi:10.1029/2010GL044499 [publisher-version]
  • Jungclaus, J., Lorenz, S., Timmreck, C., Reick, C., Brovkin, V., Six, K., Segschneider, J., Giorgetta, M., Crowley, T., Pongratz, J., Krivova, N., Vieira, L., Solanki, S., Klocke, D., Botzet, M., Esch, M., Gayler, V., Haak, H., Raddatz, T., Roeckner, E., Schnur, R., Widmann, H., Claussen, M., Stevens, B. & Marotzke, J. (2010). Climate and carbon-cycle variability over the last millennium. Climate of the Past, 6, 723-737. doi:10.5194/cp-6-723-2010 [publisher-version]
  • Dekker, S., de Boer, H., Brovkin, V., Fraedrich, K., Wassen, M. & Rietkerk, M. (2010). Biogeophysical feedbacks trigger shifts in the modelled vegetation-atmosphere system at multiple scales. Biogeosciences, 7, 1237-1245. doi:10.5194/bg-7-1237-2010 [publisher-version]
  • Brovkin, V., Lorenz, S., Jungclaus, J., Raddatz, T., Timmreck, C., Reick, C., Segschneider, J. & Six, K. (2010). Sensitivity of a coupled climate-carbon cycle model to large volcanic eruptions. Tellus B, 62, 674-681. doi:10.1111/j.1600-0889.2010.00471.x [publisher-version]
  • Kleinen, T., Brovkin, V., von Bloh, W., Archer, D. & Munhoven, G. (2010). Holocene carbon cycle dynamics. Geophysical Research Letters, 37: L2705. doi:10.1029/2009GL041391 [publisher-version]
  • Bathiany, S., Claussen, M., Brovkin, V., Raddatz, T. & Gayler, V. (2010). Combined biogeophysical and biogeochemical effects of large-scale forest cover changes in the MPI earth system model. Biogeosciences, 7, 1383-1399. doi:10.5194/bg-7-1383-2010 [publisher-version]
  • Archer, D., Buffet, B. & Brovkin, V. (2009). Ocean methane hydrates as a slow tipping point in the global carbon cycle. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106, 20596-20601. doi:10.1073/pnas.0800885105 [publisher-version]
  • Tzedakis, P., Raynaud, D., McManus, J., Berger, A., Brovkin, V. & Kiefer, T. (2009). Interglacial diversity. Nature Geoscience, 2, 751-755. doi:10.1038/ngeo660
  • Churkina, G., Brovkin, V., von Bloh, W., Trusilova, K., Jung, M. & Dentener, F. (2009). Synergy of rising nitrogen depositions and atmospheric CO2 on land carbon uptake moderately offsets global warming. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 23: GB4027. doi:10.1029/2008GB003291 [publisher-version]
  • Scheffer, M., Bascompte, J., Brock, W., Brovkin, V., Carpenter, S., Dakos, V., Held, H., van Nes, E., Rietkerk, M. & Sugihara, G. (2009). Early-warning signals for critical transitions [Review]. Nature, 461(7260), 53-59. doi:10.1038/nature08227
  • Archer, D., Eby, M., Brovkin, V., Ridgwell, A., Long, C., Mikolajewicz, U., Caldeira, K., Matsumoto, K., Munhoven, G., Montenegro, A. & Tokos, K. (2009). Atmospheric lifetime of fossil-fuel carbon dioxide. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 37, 117-134.
  • Otto, J., Raddatz, T., Claussen, M., Brovkin, V. & Gayler, V. (2009). Separation of atmosphere-ocean-vegetation feedbacks and synergies for mid-Holocene climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 36: L09701. doi:10.1029/2009GL037482. [publisher-version]
  • Brovkin, V., Raddatz, T., Reick, C., Claussen, M. & Gayler, V. (2009). Global biogeophysical interactions between forest and climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 36: L07405. doi:10.1029/2009GL037543 [publisher-version]
  • Pitman, A., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Cruz, F., Davin, E., Bonan, G., Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Delire, C., Ganzefeld, L., Gayler, V., van den Hurk, B., Lawrence, P., van der Molen, M., Müller, C., Reick, C., Seneviratne, S., Strengers, B. & Voldoire, A. (2009). Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCID intercomparison study. Geophysical Research Letters, 36: L14814. doi:10.1029/2009GL039076 [publisher-version]
  • Brovkin, V., Petoukhov, V., Claussen, M., Bauer, E., Archer, D. & Jaeger, C. (2009). Geoengineering climate by stratospheric sulfur injections: Earth system vulnerability to technological failure. Climatic Change, 92, 243-259. doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9490-1 [publisher-version]
  • Jaeger, C., Schellnhuber, H. & Brovkin, V. (2008). Stern's review and Dam's fallacy. Climatic Change, 89, 207-218. doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9436-7 [publisher-version]
  • Brovkin, V., Cherkinsky, A. & Gorachkin, S. (2008). Estimating soil carbon turnover using radiocarbon data: a case study for European Russia. Ecological Modelling, 216, 178-187. doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.03.018
  • Dakos, V., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E., Brovkin, V., Petoukhov, V. & Held, H. (2008). Slowing down as an early warning signal for abrupt climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 105, 14308-14312. doi:10.1073/pnas.0802430105 [publisher-version]
  • Cornwell, W., Johannes, H., Cornelissen, J., Amatangelo, K., Dorrepaal, E., Eviner, V., Godoy, O., Hobbie, S., Hoorens, B., Kurokawa, H., Harguindeguy, N., Quested, H., Santiago, L., Wardle, D., Wright, I., Aerts, R., Allison, S., van Bodegom, P., Brovkin, V., Chatain, A., Callaghan, T., Diaz, S., Garnier, E., Gurvich, D., Kazakou, E., Klein, J., Read, J., Reich, P., Soudzilovskaia, N., Vaieretti, V. & Westoby, M. (2008). The leaf economic spectrum drives litter decomposition within regional floras worldwide. Ecology Letters, 11, 1065-1071. doi:10.111/j.1461-0248.2008.01219.x
  • Brovkin, V. & Claussen, M. (2008). Comment on “Climate-Driven Ecosystem Succession in the Sahara: The Past 6000 Years". Science, 322, 1326b-1326b. doi:10.1126/science.1163381
  • Archer, D. & Brovkin, V. (2008). Millennial atmospheric lifetime of anthropogenic CO₂. Climatic Change, 90, 283-297. doi:10.1007/s10584-008-9413-1 [publisher-version]
  • Friedlingstein, P., Cox, P., Betts, R., Bopp L., L., Von Bloh, W., Brovkin, V., Cadule, P., Doney, S., Eby, M., Fung, I., Bala, G., John, J., Jones, C., Joos, F., Kato, T., Kawamiya, M., Knorr, W., Lindsay, K., Matthews, H., Raddatz, T., Rayner, P., Reick, C., Roeckner, E., Schnitzler, K.-G., Schnur, R., Strassmann, K., Weaver, A., Yoshikawa, C. & Zeng, N. (2006). Climate-carbon cycle feedback analysis: Results from the (CMIP)-M-4 model intercomparison [Review]. Journal of Climate, 19, 3337-3353. doi:10.1175/JCLI3800.1 [publisher-version]
  • Claussen, M., Fohlmeister, J., Ganopolski, A. & Brovkin, V. (2006). Vegetation dynamics amplifies precessional forcing. Geophysical Research Letters, 33: L09709. doi:10.1029/2006GL026111 [publisher-version]
  • Brovkin, V., Claussen, M., Driesschaert, E., Fichefet, T., Knicklighter, D., Loutre, M., Matthews, D., Ramankutty, N., Schaeffer, M. & Sokolov, A. (2006). Biogeophysical effects of historical land cover changes simulated by six Earth system models of intermediate complexity. Climate Dynamics, 26, 587-600. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0092-6 [publisher-version]
  • Scheffer, M., Holgren, M., Brovkin, V. & Claussen, M. (2005). Synergy between small- and large-scale feedbacks of vegetation on the water cycle. Global Change Biology, 11, 1003-1012. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2005.00962.x
  • Calov, R., Ganopolski, A., Petoukhov, V., Claussen, M., Brovkin, V. & Kubatzki, C. (2005). Transient simulation of the last glacial inception. Part II: Sensitivity and feedback analysis. Climate Dynamics, 24, 563-576. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0008-5 [publisher-version]
  • Levis, S., Foley, J., Brovkin, V. & Pollard, D. (1999). On the stability of the high-latitude climate-vegetation system in a coupled atmosphere-biosphere model. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 8, 489-500. doi:10.1046/j.1365-2699.1999.00168.x