• Stössel, A., von Storch, J., Notz, D., Haak, H. & Gerdes, R. (2018). High-frequency and meso-scale winter sea-ice variability in the Southern Oscillation in a high resolution global ocean model. Ocean Dynamics, 68, 347-361. Berlin: Springer. doi:10.1007/s10236-018-1135-y
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  • Bunzel, F., Müller, W., Dobrynin, M., Fröhlich, K., Hagemann, S., Pohlmann, H., Stacke, T. & Baehr, J. (2018). Improved seasonal prediction of European summer temperatures with new five-layer soil-hydrology scheme. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 346-353. doi:10.1002/2017GL076204 [pdf] [pdf]
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  • Kaminski, T., Kauker, F., Toudal Pedersen, L., Voßbeck, M., Haak, H., Niederdrenk, L., Hendricks, S., Ricker, R., Karcher, M., Eicken, H. & Gråbak, O. (submitted). Arctic mission benefit analysis: Impact of sea ice thickness, freeboard, and snow depth products on sea ice forecast performance (in open review for The Cryosphere). doi: 10.5194/tc-2017-249. The Cryosphere, 2017, Copernicus Publications.
  • Burgard, C. & Notz, D. (2017). Drivers of past and future Arctic ocean warming in CMIP5 models. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 4263-4271. Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union. doi:10.1002/2016GL072342 [zip] [pdf] [pdf]
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  • Notz, D. (2017). When Will Arctic Sea Ice Be Gone?. doi:10.21036/LTPUB10480
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  • Notz, D. & Stroeve, J. (2016). Observed Arctic sea-ice loss directly follows anthropogenic CO2 emission. Science, 354, 747-750. Washington, D.C.: American Association for the Advancement of Science. doi:10.1126/science.aag2345
  • Grimm, R., Notz, D., Rysgaard, S., Glud, R. & Six, K. (2016). Assessment of the sea ice carbon pump: Insights from a three-dimensional ocean-sea-ice biogeochemical model (MPIOM/HAMOCC). Elementa: Science of the Anthropocene, 4, 136. BioOne. doi:10.12952/journal.elementa.000136 [pdf]
  • Notz, D., Jahn, A., Holland, M., Hunke, E., Massonnet, F., Tremblay, B. & Vancoppenolle, M. (2016). The CMIP6 Sea-Ice Model Intercomparison Project (SIMIP): understanding sea ice through climate-model simulations. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 3427-3446. Göttingen: Copernicus Publ.. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-3427-2016 [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2016). Atmospheric dynamics: Arctic winds of change. Nature Climate Change, 6, 824-825. London: Nature Publishing Group. doi:10.1038/nclimate3030
  • Bathiany, S., van der Bolt, B., Williamson, M., Lenton, T., Scheffer, M., van Nes, E. & Notz, D. (2016). Statistical indicators of Arctic sea-ice stability - prospects and limitations. The Cryosphere, 10, 1631-1645. doi:10.5194/tc-10-1631-2016 [pdf]
  • Bathiany, S., Notz, D., Mauritsen, T., Rädel, G. & Brovkin, V. (2016). On the mechanism of Arctic winter sea ice collapse. Journal of Climate, 29, 2703-2719. Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0466.1 [docx] [pdf]
  • Keitzl, T., Mellado, J.-P. & Notz, D. (2016). Impact of thermally driven turbulence on the bottom melting of ice. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 46, 1171-1187. Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society. doi:10.1175/JPO-D-15-0126.1 [gz] [pdf]
  • Bunzel, F., Notz, D., Baehr, J., Müller, W. & Fröhlich, K. (2016). Seasonal climate forecasts significantly affected by observational uncertainty of Arctic sea ice concentration. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 852-859. doi:10.1002/2015GL066928 [pdf] [pdf]
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  • Notz, D. (2015). Das aktuelle Abschmelzen des arktischen Meereises. In Warnsignal Klima: Das Eis der Erde (pp.199-203). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
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  • Notz, D. (2015). How well must climate models agree with observations?. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society of London, Series A: Mathematical and Physical Sciences, 373, London: Royal Society .
  • Wiese, M., Griewank, P. & Notz, D. (2015). On the thermodynamics of melting sea ice versus melting freshwater ice. Annals of Glaciology, 56, 191-199. Cambridge, Cambridgeshire: International Glaciological Society.
  • Baehr, J., Fröhlich , K., Botzet, M., Domeisen, D., Kornblueh, L., Notz, D., Piontek, R., Pohlmann, H., Tietsche, S. & Müller, W. (2015). The prediction of surface temperature in the new seasonal prediction system based on the MPI-ESM coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 44, 2723-2735. Heidelberg: Springer-International. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2399-7
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  • Stössel, A., Notz, D., Haumann, F., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J. & Mikolajewicz, U. (2015). Controlling high-latitude Southern Ocean convection in climate models. Ocean Modelling, 86, 58-75. Oxford, U.K.: Elsevier. doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2014.11.008
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  • Vihma, T., Pirazzini, R., Fer, I., Renfrew, I., Sedlar, J., Tjernstrom, M., Luepkes, C., Nygard, T., Notz, D., Weiss, J., Marsan, D., Cheng, B., Birnbaum, G., Gerland, S., Chechin, D. & Gascard, J. (2014). Advances in understanding and parameterization of small-scale physical processes in the marine Arctic climate system: a review. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 14, 9403-9450. Katlenburg-Lindau, Germany: European Geosciences Union. doi:10.5194/acp-14-9403-2014 [pdf] [pdf]
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  • Rysgaard, S., Wang, F., Galley, R., Grimm, R., Notz, D., Lemes, M., Geilfus, N.-X., Chaulk, A., Hare, A., Crabeck, O., Else, B., Campbell, K., Sorensen, L., Sievers, J. & Papakyriakou, T. (2014). Temporal dynamics of ikaite in experimental sea ice. Cryosphere, 8, 1469-1478. [pdf]
  • Zanchettin, D., Bothe, O., Timmreck, C., Bader, J., Beitsch, A., Graf, H.-F., Notz, D. & Jungclaus, J. (2014). Inter-hemispheric asymmetry in the sea-ice response to volcanic forcing simulated by MPI-ESM (COSMOS-Mill). Earth System Dynamics, 5, 223-242. New York: Copernicus GmbH. [pdf] [pdf]
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  • Notz, D. (2014). Veränderung der Dicke und Ausdehnung des Polarmeereises. In Lozán, J., Grassl, H., Notz, D. & Piepenburg, D. (Eds.), Warnsignal Klima: Die Polarregionen (pp.121-127). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
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  • Jungclaus, J. (2014). Die Rolle ozeanischer Wärmetransporte für das Klima der Arktis im letzten Jahrtausend. In Lozán, J., Grassl, H., Notz, D. & Piepenburg, D. (Eds.), Warnsignal Klima: Die Polarregionen (pp.243-247). Hamburg: Wissenschaftliche Auswertungen.
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  • Keitzl, T., Notz, D. & Mellado, J.-P. (2014). How fast does ice melt from below? . APS Division of Fluid Dynamics GFM. doi:10.1103/APS.DFD.2014.GFM.V0020 [de/pubman/item/escidoc:2300733:9/component/escidoc:2300760/Video-Keitzl]
  • Griewank, P. (2014). A 1D model study of brine dynamics in sea ice. Phd Thesis, Hamburg: Universität Hamburg. doi:10.17617/2.1909684 [pdf]
  • Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. & Marotzke, J. (2013). Predictability of large interannual Arctic sea-ice anomalies. Climate Dynamics, 41, 2511-2526. Heidelberg: Springer-International. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1698-8 [pdf] [eps] [eps]
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  • Notz, D., Brovkin, V. & Heimann, M. (2013). Arctic: uncertainties in methane link . Nature, 500, 529-529. London: Nature Publishing Group. doi:10.1038/500529b
  • Li, C., Notz, D., Tietsche, S. & Marotzke, J. (2013). The transient versus the equilibrium response of sea ice to global warming. Journal of Climate, 26, 5624-5636. Boston, MA: American Meteorological Society. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00492.1 [pdf]
  • Griewank, P. & Notz, D. (2013). Insights into brine dynamics and sea ice desalination from a 1-D model study of gravity drainage. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 118, 3370-3386. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley. [pdf]
  • Jungclaus, J., Fischer, N., Haak, H., Lohmann, K., Marotzke, J., Matei, D., Mikolajewicz, U., Notz, D. & von Storch, J.-S. (2013). Characteristics of the ocean simulations in MPIOM, the ocean component of the MPI Earth System Model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 5, 422-446. Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union. doi:10.1002/jame.20023 [pdf]
  • Tietsche, S., Notz, D., Jungclaus, J. & Marotzke, J. (2013). Assimilation of sea-ice concentration in a global climate model – physical and statistical aspects. Ocean Science, 9, 19-36. Katlenburg-Lindau: Copernicus Group.. doi:10.5194/os-9-19-2013 [pdf]
  • Notz, D. (2012). Challenges in simulating sea ice in Earth System Models. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 3, 509-526. Wiley. doi:10.1002/WCC.189
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  • Mauritsen, T., Stevens, B., Roeckner, E., Crueger, T., Esch, M., Giorgetta, M., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J., Klocke, D., Matei, D., Mikolajewicz, U., Notz, D., Pincus, R., Schmidt, H. & Tomassini, L. (2012). Tuning the climate of a global model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 4, Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union. doi:10.1029/2012MS000154 [pdf]
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  • Hunke, E., Notz, D., Turner, A. & Vancoppenolle, M. (2011). The multiphase physics of sea ice: A review. Cryosphere , 5, 989-1009. doi:10.5194/tc-5-989-2011 [pdf]
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  • Notz, D. (2011). Kippt das Klima ?. In Zellner, R. (Eds.), Chemie über den Wolken (pp.157-161). Weinheim: Wiley-VCH.
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  • Notz, D. (2010). Natürlicher Klimawandel. In Blickpunkt Klimawandel (pp.29-45). Bielefeld: Delius Klasing.
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  • Notz, D. (2009). The future of ice sheets and sea ice: Between reversible retreat and unstoppable loss. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106, 20590-20595.
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  • Notz, D. & Worster, M. (2006). A 1-D enthalpy model of sea ice. Annals of Glaciology, 44, 123-128.
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