Skilful Earth system predictions for a season or a decade ahead remain in many cases a formidable challenge. I will present recent progress in predicting climate and Earth system variability using prediction systems based on the Max-Planck-Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM). I will also challenge the current practice to focus on the ensemble mean and suggest a less-is-more approach instead.
17.06.2021
15:15 Uhr