Contact:

Email: holger.pohlmann@we dont want spammpimet.mpg.de

Fon: +49-40-41173-152

Fax: +49-40-41173-298

Mobile: +49-1515-6866710

Postal Address:

Max Planck Institute for Meteorology

The Ocean in the Earth System

Room 209

Bundesstr. 53

D-20146 Hamburg

and:

Deutscher Wetterdienst

Climate and Environment

Room 303

Bernhard-Nocht-Str. 76

D-20359 Hamburg

and guest scientist:

University of Hamburg

Climate Modelling

Bundesstr. 53

D-20146 Hamburg

ORCID

0000-0003-1264-0024

SCOPUS

7003531228

IAFE-DAKLIM

          Innovation Programme for applied researches and developments (DWD)

ROMIC-SOLCHECK 

          Role of the Middle Atmosphere in Climate (BMBF)

QBOi

          Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (SPARC)

S&C

          Stratosphere und Climate (MPI-Met)

Submitted

• O’Kane, T., A. A. Scaife, Y. Kushnir, A. Brookshaw, C. Buontempo, D. Carlin, R. K. Connell, F. Doblas-Reyes, N. Dunstone, K. Förster, A. Graca, A. J. Hobday, V. Kitsios, L. van der Laan, J. Lockwood, W. J. Merryfield, A. Paxian, M. R. Payne, M. C. Reader, G. R. Saville, D. Smith, B. Solaraju-Murali, N. Caltabiano, J. Carman, E. Hawkins, N. Keenlyside, A. Kumar, D. Matei, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Raphael, M. Sparrow, B. Wu, 2022: Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions. Nature Communications Earth & Evironment
• Pohlmann, H., S. Brune, K. Fröhlich, J. H. Jungclaus, C, Sgoff, J. Baehr: Impact of Ocean Data Assimilation on Climate Predictions with ICON-ESM. Climate Dynamics

2022

• Hermanson, L., D. Smith, M. Seabrook, R. Bilbao, F. Doblas-Reyes, W. Merryfield, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, N. Dunstone, R. Eade, A. Scaife, T. Mochizuki, T. Kruschke, T. Koenigk, S. Yang, T. Tian, M. Collier, T. O’Kane, K. Pankatz, W. Müller, H. Pohlmann, L. Zhang, T. Delworth, Y. Wang, F. Counillon, N. Keenlyside, I. Bethke, 2022: WMO Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update: A forecast for 2021-2025. BAMS, 103, E1117-1129. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0311.1
• Jungclaus, J. H., S. J. Lorenz, H. Schmidt, V. Brovkin, N. Brüggemann, F. Chegini, V. Gayler, M. A. Giorgetta, O. Gutjahr, H. Haak, S. Hagemann, M. Hanke, T. Ilyina, P. Korn, J. Kröger, L. Linardakis, C. Mehlmann, U. Mikolajewicz, W. A. Müller, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, D. A. Putrasahan, T. Raddatz, L. Ramme, R. Redler, C. H. Reick, T. Riddick, T. Sam, R. Schneck, R. Schnur, M. Schupfner, J.-S. von Storch, F. Wachsmann, K.-H. Wieners, F. Ziemen, B. Stevens, J. Marotzke, and M. Claussen, 2022: The ICON Earth System Model Version 1.0. JAMES, 14, e2021MS002814. doi:10.1029/2021MS002813

2021

• Fröhlich, K., M. Dobrynin, K. Isensee, C. Gessner, A. Paxian, H. Pohlmann, H. Haak, S. Brune, B. Früh, J. Baehr, 2021: The German climate forecast system: GCFS. JAMES, 13, e2020MS002101. doi:10.1002/2020MS002101
• Liu, F., U. Daewel, A. Samuelsen, S. Brune, U. Hanz, H. Pohlmann, J. Baehr, C. Schrumm, 2021: Can environmental conditions at North Atlantic deep-sea habitats be predicted several years ahead? - Taking sponge habitats as an example. Front. Mar. Sci., 8, 703297. doi: 10.3389/fmars.2021.703297

2020

• Hermanson, L.,  R. Bilbao, N. Dunstone, M. Menegoz, P. Ortega, H. Pohlmann, J. Robson, D. Smith, W. Strand, C. Timmreck, S. Yeager, G. Danabasoglu, 2020: Robust multi-year climate impacts of volcanic eruptions in decadal prediction systems. JGR Atmospheres, 125, e2019JD031739. doi:10.1029/2019JD031739
• Smith, D. M., R. Eade, A. A. Scaife, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. M. DelSole, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, L. Hermanson, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Yeager and X. Yang, 2020: Author correction: Robust skill of decadal climate predictions. Climate and Atmospheric Science, 3, 15. doi:10.1038/s41612-020-0118-0
• Smith, D. M., A. A. Scaife, R. Eade, P. Athanasiadis, A. Bellucci, I. Bethke, R. Bilbao, L. F. Borchert, L.-P. Caron, F. Counillon, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, V. Estella-Perez, S. Flavoni, L. Hermanson, N. Keenlyside, V. Kahrin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, J. Mignot, T. Mochizuki, K. Modali, P.-A. Monerie, W. A. Müller, D. Nicoli, P. Ortega, K. Pankatz, H. Pohlmann, J. Robson, P. Ruggieri, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, D. Swingedouw, Y. Wang, S. Wild, S. Yeager, X. Yang, L. Zhang, 2020: North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583, 796-800. doi:10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0
• Stockdale, T. N., Y.-H. Kim, J. A. Anstey, F. Palmeiro, N. Butchart, A. A. Scaife, M. Andrews, A. C. Bushell, M. Dobrynin, J. Garcia-Serrano, K. Hamilton, Y. Kawatani, F. Lott, C. McLandress, H. Naoe, S. Osprey, H. Pohlmann, J. Scinocca, S. Watanabe, K. Yoshida and S. Yukimoto, 2020: Prediction of the quasi-biennial oscillation with a multi-model ensemble of QBO-resolving models. QJRMS, 1–22. doi:10.1002/qj.3919

2019

• Borchert, L. F., H. Pohlmann, J. Baehr, N.-C. Neddermann, L. Suarez-Gutierrez, W. A. Müller, 2019: Decadal predictions of the probability of occurrence for warm summer temperature extremes. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 14042-14051. doi:10.1029/2019GL085385
• Feldmann, H., J. G. Pinto, N. Laube, M. Uhlig, J. Momken,A. Pasternack, B. Früh, H. Pohlmann, C. Kottmeier, 2019: Skill and added value of the Miklip regional decadal prediction system for temperature over Europe. Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 71, 1-19, doi:10.1080/16000870.2019.1618678
• Mauritsen, T., J. Bader, T. Becker, J. Behrens, M. Bittner, R. Brokopf, V. Brovkin, M. Claussen, T. Crueger, M. Esch, I. Fast, S. Fiedler, D. Fläschner, V. Gayler, M. Giorgetta, D. S. Goll, H. Haak, S. Hagemann, C. Hedemann, C. Hohenegger, T. Ilyina, T. Jahns, D. J. de la Cuesta Otero, J. Jungclaus, T. Kleinen, S. Kloster, D. Kracher, S. Kinne, D. Kleberg, G. Lasslop, L. Kornblueh, J. Marotzke, D. Matei, K. Meraner, U. Mikolajewicz, K. Modali, B. Möbis, W. A. Müller, J. E. M. S. Nabel, C. C. W. Nam, D. Notz, S.-S. Nyawira, H. Paulsen, K. Peters, R. Pincus, H. Pohlmann, J. Pongratz, M. Popp, T. Raddatz, S. Rast, R. Redler, C. Reick, T. Rohrschneider, V. Schemann, H. Schmidt, R. Schnur, U. Schulzweida, K. D. Six, L. Stein, I. Stemmler, B Stevens, J.-S. von Storch, F. Tian, A. Voigt, P. de Vrese, K.-H. Wieners, S. Wilkenskjeld, A. Winkler and E. Roeckner, 2019: Developments in the MPI-M Earth System Model version 1.2 (MPI-ESM1.2) and its response to increasing CO2. JAMES, 11, 998-1038, doi:10.1029/2018MS001400
• Paeth, H., J. Li, F. Pollinger, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, H. Feldmann, H.-J. Panitz, 2018: An effective drift correction for dynamical downscaling of decadal global climate predictions. Clim. Dyn., 52, 1343-1357. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4195-2
• Paxian, A., M. Ziese, F. Kreienkamp, K. Pankatz, S. Brand, A. Pasternack, H. Pohlmann, K. Modali, and B. Früh, 2018: User-oriented global predictions of the GPCC drought index for the next decade. Met. Zeitschrift, 28, 3-21. doi:10.1127/metz/2018/0912
• Pohlmann, H., W. A. Müller, M. Bittner, S. Hettrich, K. Modali, K. Pankatz, J. Marotzke, 2019: Realistic quasi-biennial oscillation variability in historical and decadal hindcast simulations using CMIP6 forcing. Geophys. Res. Lett., 46, 14118-14125 doi:10.1029/2019GL084878
• Schuster , M., J. Grieger, A. Richling, T. Schartner, S. Illing, C. Kadow, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Pfahl, and U. Ulbrich, 2019: Improvement in the decadal prediction skill of the northern hemisphere extra-tropical winter circulation through increased model resolution. Earth System Dynamics, 10, 901-917, doi:10.5194/esd-2019-18
• Smith, D. M., R. Eade, A. A. Scaife, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. M. DelSole, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, N. J. Dunstone, L. Hermanson, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Yeager and X. Yang, 2019: Robust skill of decadal climate predictions. Climate and Atmospheric Science, 2, 13. doi:10.1038/s41612-019-0071-y

2018

• Brune, S., A. Düsterhus, H. Pohlmann, W. A. Müller, J. Baehr, 2018: Time dependency of the prediction skill for the North Atlantic subpolar gyre in initialized decadal hindcasts. Clim. Dyn., 51, 1947-1970. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-3991-4
• Bunzel, F., W. A. Müller, T. Stacke, S. Hagemann, M. Dobrynin, J. Baehr, K. Fröhlich, H. Pohlmann, 2018: Improved seasonal prediction of European summer temperatures with new 5-layer soil-hydrology scheme. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 346-353. doi:10.1002/2017GL076204
• Butchart, N., J. A. Anstey, K. Hamilton, S. Osprey, C. McLandress, A. C. Bushell, Y. Kawatani, Y.-H. Kim, F. Lott, J. Scinocca, T. N. Stockdale, M. Andrews, O. Bellprat, P. Braesicke, C. Cagnazzo, C.-C. Chen, H.-Y. Chun, M. Dobrynin, R. R. Garcia, J. Garcia-Serrano, L. J. Gray, L. Holt, T. Kerzenmacher, H. Naoe, H. Pohlmann, J. H. Richter, A. A. Scaife, V. Schenzinger, F. Serva, S. Versick, S. Watanabe, K. Yoshida, and S. Yukimoto, 2018: Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi), Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 1009-1032, doi:10.5194/gmd-2017-18
• Dobrynin, M., D. I. V. Domeisen, W. A. Müller, L. Bell, S. Brune, F. Bunzel, A. Düsterhus, K. Fröhlich, H. Pohlmann, J. Baehr, 2018: Improved teleconnection-based dynamical seasonal predictions of boreal winter. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 3605-3614. doi:10.1002/2018GL077029
• Illing, S., C. Kadow, H. Pohlmann, C. Timmreck, 2018: Assessing the Impact of a Future Volcanic Eruption on Decadal Predictions. Earth Syst. Dynam., 9, 701-715, doi:10.5194/esd-9-701-2018
• Kröger, J., H. Pohlmann, F. Sienz, J. Marotzke, J. Baehr, A. Köhl, K. Modali, I. Polkova, D. Stammer, F. S. E. Vamborg, W. A. Müller, 2018: Full-field initialized decadal predictions with the MPI earth system model: an initial shock in the North Atlantic. Clim. Dyn., 51, 2593-2608. doi:10.1007/s00382-017-4030-1
• Müller, W. A., J. H. Jungclaus, T. Mauritzen, J. Baehr, M. Bittner, R. Budich, F. Bunzel, M. Esch, R. Ghosh, H. Haak, T. Ilyina, T. Kleine, L. Kornblueh, H. Li, K. Modali, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann, E. Roeckner, I. Stemmler, F. Tian, J. Marotzke, 2018: A higher-resolved version of the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM1.2-HR). JAMES, 10, 1383–1413, doi:10.1029/2017MS001217
• Smith, D. M., A. A. Scaife, E. Hawkins, R. Bilbao, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, L.-P. Caron, G. Danabasoglu, T. Delworth, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, R. Doescher, N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, L. Hermanson, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, T. Koenigk, Y. Kushnir, D. Matei, G. A. Meehl, M. Menegoz, W. J. Merryfield, T. Mochizuki, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, S. Power, M. Rixen, R. Sospedra-Alfonso, M. Tuma, K. Wyser, X. Yang and S. Yeager, 2018: Predicted chance that global warming will temporarily exceed 1.5ºC. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45, 11895-11903, doi:10.1029/2018GL079362

2017

• Müller, V., H. Pohlmann, A. Düsterhus, D. Matei, J. Marotzke, W. A. Müller, M. Zeller, J. Baehr, 2017: Hindcast skill for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N within two MPI-ESM decadal climate prediction systems. Clim. Dyn., 49, 2975-2990. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3482-z
• Pohlmann, H., J. Kröger, R. J. Greatbatch, W. A. Müller, 2017: Initialization shock in decadal hindcasts due to errors in wind stress over the tropical Pacific. Clim. Dyn., 49, 2685-2693. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3486-8

2016

• Kadow, C., S. Illing, O. Kunst, H. W. Rust, H. Pohlmann, W. A. Müller and U. Cubasch, 2016: Evaluation of forecasts by accuracy and spread in the MiKlip decadal climate prediction system. Met. Zeitschrift, 25, 631-643. doi:10.1127/metz/2015/0639
• Kruschke, T., H. W. Rust, C. Kadow, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, G. C. Leckebusch, U. Ulbrich, 2016: Probabilistic evaluation of decadal prediction skill regarding Northern Hemisphere winter storms. Met. Zeitschrift, 25, 721-738. doi:10.1127/metz/2015/0641
• Marotzke, J., W. A. Müller, F. S. E. Vamborg, P. Becker, U. Cubasch, H. Feldmann, F. Kaspar, C. Kottmeier, C. Marini, I. Polkova, K. Prömmel, H. W. Rust, D. Stammer, U. Ulbrich,C. Kadow, A. Köhl, J. Kröger, T. Kruschke, J. G. Pinto, H. Pohlmann, M. Reyers, M Schröder, F. Sienz, C. Timmreck, M. Ziese, 2016: MiKlip - a National Research Project on Decadal Climate Prediction. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97, 2379-2394. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00184.1
• Mohino, E., N. Keenlyside., H. Pohlmann, 2016: Decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall: where does the skill (or lack thereof) come from? Clim. Dyn., 47, 3593-3612. doi:10.1007/s00382-016-3416-9
• Pattatanús-Ábrahám, M., C. Kadow, S. Illing,W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, W. Steinbrecht, 2016: Bias and drift of the mid-range decadal climate prediction system (MiKlip) validated by European radiosonde data. Met Zeitschrift, 25, 709-720. doi:10.1127/metz/2016/0803
• Sienz, F., W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, 2016: Ensemble size impact on the decadal predictive skill assessment. Met. Zeitschrift, 25, 645-655. doi:10.1127/metz/2016/0670
• Timmreck, C., H. Pohlmann, S. Illing, C. Kadow, 2016: The impact of stratospheric volcanic aerosol on decadal-scale climate predictions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 43, 834-842. doi:10.1002/2015GL067431

2015

• Baehr, J., K. Fröhlich, M. Botzet, D. I. V. Domeisen, L. Kornblueh, D. Notz, R. Piontek, H. Pohlmann, S. Tietsche, W. A. Müller, 2015: The prediction of surface temperature in the new seasonal prediction system based on the MPI-ESM coupled climate model. Clim. Dyn., 44, 2723-2735. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2399-7
• Bellucci, A., R. Haarsma, S. Gualdi, P. J. Athanasiadis, M. Caian, C. Cassou, E. Fernandez, A. Germe, J. Jungclaus, J. Kröger, D. Matei, W. Müller, H. Pohlmann, D. Salas y Melia, E. Sanchez, D. Smith, L. Terray, K. Wyser, S. Yang, 2015: An assessment of a multi-model ensemble of decadal climate predictions. Clim. Dyn., 44, 2787-2806. doi:10.1007/s00382-014-2164-y
• Corti, S., T. Palmer, M. Balmaseda, A. Weisheimer, S. Drijfhout, N. Dunstone, W. Hazeleger, J. Kröger, H. Pohlmann, D. Smith, J.-S. von Storch, B. Wouters, 2015: Impact of initial conditions versus external forcing in decadal climate predictions: A sensitivity experiment. J. Climate, 28, 4454-4470. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00671.1

2014

• Meehl, G. A., L. Goddard, G. Boer, R. Burgman, G. Branstator, C. Cassou, S. Corti, G. Danabasoglu, F. Doblas-Reyes, E. Hawkins, A. Karspeck, M. Kimoto, A. Kumar, D. Matei, J. Mignot, R. Msadek, A. Navarra, H. Pohlmann, M. Rienecker, T. Rosati, E. Schneider, D. Smith, R. Sutton, H. Teng, G. J. van Oldenborgh, G. Vecchi, S. Yeager, 2014: Decadal climate prediction: An update from the trenches. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 95, 243-267. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00241.1
• Müller, W. A., H. Pohlmann, F. Sienz, D. Smith, 2014: Decadal climate predictions for the period 1901-2010 with a coupled climate model. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 2100-2107. doi:10.1002/2014GL059259
• Scaife, A. A., M. Athanassiadou, M. Andrews, A. Arribas, M. Baldwin, N. Dunstone, J. Knight, C. MacLachlan, E. Manzini, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, D. Smith., T. Stockdale, A. Williams, 2014: Predictability of the quasi-biennial oscillation and its northern winter teleconnection on seasonal to decadal timescales. Geophys. Res. Lett., 41, 1752-1758. doi:10.1002/2013GL059160
• Smith, D. M., N. J. Dunstone, R. Eade, D. Fereday, L. Hermanson, J. M. Murphy, H. Pohlmann, N. Robinson, A. A. Scaife, 2014: Comments on “Multi-year Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Frequency: Promise and limitations.” J. Climate, 27, 487-489. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00220.1

2013

• Hazeleger, W., B. Wouters, G. J. van Oldenborgh, S. Corti, T. Palmer, D. Smith, N. Dunstone, J. Kröger, H. Pohlmann, J.-S. von Storch, 2013: Predicting multi-year North Atlantic Ocean variability. J. Geophys. Res. Oceans, 118, 1087-1098. doi:10.1002/jgrc.20117
• Pohlmann, H., W. A. Müller, K. Kulkarni, M. Kameswarrao, D. Matei, F. S. E. Vamborg, C. Kadow, S. Illing, J. Marotzke, 2013: Improved forecast skill in the tropics in the new MiKlip decadal climate predictions. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40, 5798-5802. doi:10.1002/2013GL058051
• Pohlmann, H., D. M. Smith, M. A. Balmaseda, N. S. Keenlyside, S. Masina, D. Matei, W. A. Müller, P. Rogel, 2013: Predictability of the mid-latitude Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a multi-model system. Clim. Dyn., 41, 775-785. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1663-6
• Smith, D. M., R. Eade, H. Pohlmann, 2013: A comparison of anomaly and full field initialization for seasonal to decadal climate prediction. Clim Dyn., 41, 3325-3338. doi:10.1007/s00382-013-1683-2
• Smith, D. M., A. A. Scaife, G. J. Boer, M. Caian, F. J. Doblas-Reyes, V. Guemas, E. Hawkins, W. Hazeleger, L. Hermanson, C. K. Ho, M. Ishii, V. Kharin, M. Kimoto, B. Kirtman, J. Lean, D. Matei, W. A. Müller, H. Pohlmann, A. Rosati, B. Wouters, K. Wyser, 2013: Real-time multi-model decadal predictions. Clim. Dyn, 41, 2875-2888. doi:10.1007/s00382-1600-0

2012

• Matei, D., H. Pohlmann, J. Jungclaus, W. Müller, H. Haak, J. Marotzke, 2012: Two tales of initializing decadal climate prediction experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM model. J. Climate, 25, 8502-8523. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00633.1
• Müller, W. A., J. Baehr, H. Haak, J. H. Jungclaus, J. Kröger, D. Matei, D. Notz, H. Pohlmann,  J.-S. von Storch, J. Marotzke, 2012: Forecast skill of multi-year seasonal means in the decadal prediction system of the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39, L22707. doi:10.1029/2012GL053326

2011

• Hawkins, E., R. S. Smith, L. C. Allison, J. M. Gregory, T. J. Woolings, H. Pohlmann, B. de Cuevas, 2011: Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport. Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L10605. doi:10.1029/2011GL047208
• Hawkins, E., R. S. Smith, L. C. Allison, J. M. Gregory, T. J. Woolings, H. Pohlmann, B. de Cuevas, 2011: Correction to "Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport". Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L16699. doi:10.1029/2011GL048997

2010

• Hurrell, J. W., T. Delworth, G. Danabasoglu, H. Drange, K. Drinkwater, S. Griffies, N. Holbrook, B. Kirtman, N. Keenlyside, M. Latif, J. Marotzke, J. Murphy, G. A. Meehl, T. Palmer, H. Pohlmann, T. Rosati, R. Seager, D. Smith, R. Sutton, A. Timmermann, K. E. Trenberth, J. Tribbia, M. Visbeck, 2010: "Decadal Climate Prediction: Opportunities And Challenges" in Proceedings of OceanObs’09: Sustained Ocean Observations and Information for Society (Vol. 2), Venice, Italy, 21-25 September 2009, J. Hall, D. E. Harrison, and D. Stammer, Eds., ESA Publication WPP-306. doi:10.5270/OceanObs09.cwp.45
• Matei, D., H. Pohlmann, W. Müller, H. Haak, J. Jungclaus, J. Marotzke, 2010: "Quantifying the role of ocean initial conditions in decadal prediction" in Proceedings of OceanObs’09: Sustained Ocean Observations and Information for Society (Annex), Venice, Italy, 21-25 September 2009, J. Hall, D. E. Harrison, and D. Stammer, Eds., ESA Publication WPP-306. doi:10.5270/OceanObs09
• Smith, D. M., R. Eade, N. J. Dunstone, D. Fereday, J. M. Murphy, H. Pohlmann, A. Scaife, 2010: Skilful multi-year predictions of Atlantic hurricane frequency. Nat. Geosci., 3, 846-849. doi:10.1038/ngeo1004

2009

• Pohlmann, H., J. H. Jungclaus, A. Köhl, D. Stammer, J. Marotzke, 2009: Initializing decadal climate predictions with the GECCO oceanic synthesis: Effects on the North Atlantic. J. Climate, 22, 3926-3938. doi:10.1175/2009JCLI2535.1

2007

• Latif, M., C. W. Böning, J. Willebrand, A. Biastoch, F. Alvarez-Garcia, N. Keenlyside, H. Pohlmann, 2007: Decadal to multidecadal variability of the Atlantic MOC: mechanisms and predictability. AGU Geophysical Monograph 173 "Ocean Circulation: Mechanisms and Impacts - Past and Future Changes of Meridional Overturning", A. Schmittner, J. Chiang, and S. Hemming (Eds.), American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, 149-166. ISBN: 978-0-87590-438-2

2006

• Collins, M., M. Botzet, A. Carril, H. Drange, A. Jouzeau, M. Latif, O. H. Otteraa, H. Pohlmann, A. Sorteberg, R. Sutton, L. Terray, 2006: Interannual to decadal climate predictability: A multimodel-ensemble study. J. Climate, 19, 1195-1203. doi:10.1175/JCLI3654.1
• Latif, M., M. Collins, H. Pohlmann, N. Keenlyside, 2006: A review of predictability studies of Atlantic sector climate on decadal time scales. J. Climate, 19, 5971-5987. doi:10.1175/JCLI3945.1
• Latif, M., H. Pohlmann, W. Park, 2006: Predictability of the North Atlantic thermohaline circulation. In "Predictability of Weather and Climate", T. N. Palmer and R. Hagedorn (Eds.), Cambridge University Press, 343-364
• Pohlmann, H., R. J. Greatbatch, 2006: Discontinuities in the late 1960's in different atmospheric data products. Geophys. Res. Lett., 33, L22803. doi:10.1029/2006GL027644
• Pohlmann, H., F. Sienz, M. Latif, 2006: Influence of the multidecadal Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variability on European climate. J. Climate, 19, 6062-6067. doi:10.1175/JCLI3941.1

2005

• Pohlmann, H., M. Latif, 2005: Atlantic versus Indo-Pacific influence on Atlantic-European climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L05707. doi:10.1029/2004GL021316

2004

• Pohlmann, H., M. Botzet, M. Latif, A. Roesch, M. Wild, P. Tschuck, 2004: Estimating the decadal predictability of a coupled AOGCM. J. Climate, 17, 4463-4472. doi:10.1175/3209.1
• Rodwell, M. J., M. Drévillon, C. Frankignoul, J. W. Hurrell, H. Pohlmann, M. Stendel, R. T. Sutton, 2004: North Atlantic forcing of climate and its uncertainty from a multi-model experiment. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Society, 130, 2013-2032. doi:10.1256/qj.03.207