Elisa Manzini

Email: elisa manzini
Phone: +49-40-41173-317
Fax: +49-40-41173-298
Room no. N418
Mailing Address
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
Bundesstr. 53
D-20146 Hamburg
Department: Ocean in the Earth System

Research Interests


Stratosphere-Troposphere Interactions in the Earth System


SPARC DynVarMIP: CMIP6 Model Inter-comparison Project on the Dynamics and Variability of the the atmospheric circulation and climate change.

InterDec: The potential of seasonal-to-decadal-scale inter-regional linkages to advance climate predictions. The InterDec project is part of JPI Climate.

Blue Action: Modelling and prediction of Arctic climate changes and their impacts on regional and global atmospheric and oceanic circulations.  Blue-Action is funded by the EU Horizon 2020 Programme.

PAMIP: CMIP6 Model Inter-comparison Project seeking  to improve our understanding of Polar Amplification through a coordinated set of numerical model experiments.


Selected Publications

  • Manzini, E., A. Yu. Karpechko, and L. Kornblueh (2018) Nonlinear response of the stratosphere and the North Atlantic-European climate to global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, 45, 4255-4263. DOI: 10.1029/ 2018GL077826
  • Karpechko, A. Yu., and E. Manzini, 2017: Arctic Stratosphere Dynamical Response to Global Warming. Journal of Climate, 30, 7071-7086, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0781.1
  • Schirber, S., E. Manzini, T. Krismer, M. Giorgetta, 2015: The quasi biennial oscillation in a warmer climate: sensitivity to different gravity wave parameterizations. Clim. Dyn. 45, 825–836, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-014-2314-2
  • Manzini, E., A. Yu. Karpechko, J. Anstey, M. P. Baldwin, R. X. Black, C. Cagnazzo, N. Calvo, A. Charlton-Perez, B. Christiansen, Paolo Davini, E. Gerber, M. Giorgetta, L. Gray, S. C. Hardiman, Y.-Y. Lee, D. R. Marsh, B. A. McDaniel, A. Purich, A. A. Scaife, D. Shindell, S.-W. Son, S. Watanabe, G. Zappa (2014) Northern winter climate change: Assessment of uncertainty in CMIP5 projections related to stratosphere-troposphere coupling, J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 119, 7979-7998. DOI 10.1002/2013JD021403
  • Lott, F., S. Denvil, N. Butchart, C. Cagnazzo, M. A. Giorgetta, S. C. Hardiman, E. Manzini, T. Krismer, J.-P. Duvel, P. Maury, J. F. Scinocca, S. Watanabe, S. Yukimoto (2014) Kelvin and Rossby-gravity wave packets in the lower stratosphere of some high-top CMIP5 models, J. Geophys. Res. 119, 2156–2173. DOI 10.1002/2013JD020797
  • Scaife, A. A., M. Athanassiadou, M. Andrews, A. Arribas, M. Baldwin, N. Dunstone, J. Knight, C. MacLachlan, E. Manzini, W. A. Muller, H. Pohlmann, D. Smith, T. Stockdale, A. Williams (2014) Predictability of the quasi-biennial oscillation and its northern winter teleconnection on seasonal to decadal timescales, Geophys. Res. Lett. 41, 1752–1758. DOI 10.1002/ 2013GL059160
  • Reichler, T., J. Kim, E. Manzini, J. Kröger  (2012) A stratospheric connection to Atlantic climate variability, Nature Geoscience 5, 783-787. DOI 10.1038/ngeo1586
  • Manzini, E., C. Cagnazzo, P. G. Fogli, A. Bellucci, W.  Müller (2012) Stratosphere - Troposphere coupling at inter-decadal time scales: Implications for the North Atlantic Ocean, Geophys. Res. Lett. 39, L05801. DOI 10.1029/2011GL050771
  • Cagnazzo, C., and E. Manzini (2009) Impact of the stratosphere on the winter tropospheric teleconnections between  ENSO and the North Atlantic and European Region, J. Climate 22, 1223-1238. DOI 10.1175/2008JCLI2549.1
  • Manzini,  E., M. A. Giorgetta, M. Esch, L. Kornblueh, E. Roeckner (2006) The influence of sea surface temperatures on the Northern winter stratosphere: Ensemble simulations with the MAECHAM5 model, J. Climate 19, 3863-3881. DOI 10.1175/JCLI3826.1
  • Manzini, E., B. Steil, C. Brühl, M.A. Giorgetta, K. Krüger (2003) A new interactive chemistry-climate model: 2. Sensitivity of the middle atmosphere to ozone depletion and increase in greenhouse gases and implications for recent stratospheric cooling, J. Geophys. Res. 108(D14), 4429. DOI 10.1029/2002JD002977
  • Manzini, E., and N.A. McFarlane (1998) The effect of varying the source spectrum of a gravity wave parameterization in a middle atmosphere general circulation model, J. Geophys. Res. 103, 31523-31539. DOI 10.1029/98JD02274

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Curriculum Vitae