Publications Director's Research Group OES

  • van Dijk, E., Gundersen, I., de Bode, A., Høeg, H., Loftsgarden, K., Iversen, F., Timmreck, C., Jungclaus, J. & Krüger, K. (2023). Climatic and societal impacts in Scandinavia following the 536 and 540 CE volcanic double event. Climate of the Past, 19, 357-398. doi:10.5194/cp-19-357-2023 [ Fulltext]
  • Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gresse, E., López-Rivera, A., Pagnone, A. & Wilkens, J. (Eds.). (2023). Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2023: The plausibility of a 1.5°C limit to global warming - Social drivers and physical processes. Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). doi:10.25592/uhhfdm.11230 [ Fulltext]
  • von Storch, J., Hertwig, E., Lüschow, V., Brüggemann, N., Haak, H., Korn, P. & Singh, V. . Open-ocean tides simulated by ICON-O. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. [ Fulltext]
  • Engels, A. & Marotzke, J.(2023). Assessing the plausibility of climate futures. Environmental Research Letters, 18: 011006. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/acaf90 [ Fulltext]
  • Hohenegger, C., Korn, P., Linardakis, L., Redler, R., Schnur, R., Adamidis, P., Bao, J., Bastin, S., Behravesh, M., Bergemann, M., Biercamp, J., Bockelmann, H., Brokopf, R., Brüggemann, N., Casaroli, L., Chegini, F., Datseris, G., Esch, M., George, G., Giorgetta, M., Gutjahr, O., Haak, H., Hanke, M., Ilyina, T., Jahns, T., Jungclaus, J., Kern, M., Klocke, D., Kluft, L., Kölling, T., Kornblueh, L., Kosukhin, S., Kroll , C., Lee, J., Mauritsen, T., Mehlmann, C., Mieslinger , T., Naumann, A., Paccini, L., Peinado, A., Praturi, D., Putrasahan, D., Rast, S., Riddick, T., Roeber, N., Schmidt, H., Schulzweida, U., Schütte, F., Segura, H., Shevchenko, R., Singh, V., Specht, M., Stephan, C., von Storch, J., Vogel, R., Wengel, C., Winkler, M., Ziemen, F., Marotzke, J. & Stevens, B.(2023). ICON-Sapphire: simulating the components of the Earth System and their interactions at kilometer and subkilometer scales. Geoscientific Model Development, 16, 779-811. doi:10.5194/gmd-16-779-2023 [ Fulltext]
  • Zanchettin, D., Fang, S.-W., Khodri, M., Omrani, N.-E., Rubinetti, S., Rubino, A., Timmreck, C. & Jungclaus, J.(in press). Thermohaline patterns of intrinsic Atlantic multidecadal variability in MPI-ESM-LR. Climate Dynamics, available online.. doi:10.1007/s00382-023-06679-w
  • Suo, L., Gao, Y., Gastineau, G., Liang, Y.-C., Ghosh, R., Tian, T., Zhang, Y., Kwon, Y.-O., Matei, D., Otterå, O. & Yang, S. (2022). Arctic troposphere warming driven by external radiative forcing and modulated by the Pacific and Atlantic. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127: e2022JD036679. doi:10.1029/2022JD036679 [ Fulltext]
  • Linardakis, L., Stemmler, I., Hanke, M., Ramme, L., Chegini, F., Ilyina, T. & Korn, P.(2022). Improving scalability of Earth System Models through coarse-grained component concurrency - a case study with the ICON v2.6.5 modelling system. Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 9157-9176. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-9157-2022 [ Fulltext]
  • Milinski, M. & Marotzke, J.(2022). Economic experiments support Ostrom's polycentric approach to mitigating climatic change. Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, 9: 442. doi:10.1057/s41599-022-01436-6 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Fang, S.-W., Timmreck, C., Jungclaus, J., Krüger , K. & Schmidt, H.(2022). On the additivity of climate responses to the volcanic and solar forcing in the early 19th century.. Earth System Dynamics, 13, 1535-1555. doi:10.5194/esd-13-1535-2022 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Marotzke, J.(2022). Im Maschinenraum des neuen IPCC-Berichts. Physik in unserer Zeit, 53, 274-280. doi:10.1002/piuz.202201651 [ Fulltext]
  • Pohlmann, H., Brune, S., Fröhlich, K., Jungclaus, J., Sgoff, C. & Baehr, J. (in press). Impact of ocean data assimilation on climate predictions with ICON-ESM.. Climate Dynamics. doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06558-w
  • Zhang, X., Ojha, S., Köhl, A., Haak, H., Jungclaus, J. & Stammer, D. (2022). Sea level changes mechanisms in the MPI-ESM under FAFMIP forcing conditions. Climate Dynamics, 59, 2619-2641. doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06231-2 [ Fulltext]
  • Korn, P., Brüggemann, N., Jungclaus, J., Lorenz, S., Gutjahr, O., Haak, H., Linardakis, L., Mehlmann, C., Mikolajewicz, U., Notz, D., Putrasahan, D., Singh, V., von Storch, J., Zhu , X. & Marotzke, J.(2022). ICON-O: The Ocean Component of the ICON Earth System Model - Global simulation characteristics and local telescoping capability. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems: e2021MS002952. doi:10.1029/2021MS002952 [ Fulltext]
  • Kumar, A.(2022). The impact of ocean eddies on tropical cyclone intensity on a global scale and the role of boundary layer dynamics. Phd Thesis, Hamburg: Universität Hamburg. doi:10.17617/2.3432708 [ Fulltext]
  • Mezzina, B., García-Serrano, J., Ambrizzi, T., Matei, D., Manzini, E. & Bladé, I. (in press). Tropospheric pathways of the late-winter ENSO teleconnection to Europe. Climate Dynamics: available online. doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06508-6
  • Giorgetta, M., Sawyer, W., Lapillonne, X., Adamidis, P., Alexeev, D., Clement, V., Dietlicher, R., Engels, J., Esch, M., Franke, H., Frauen, C., Hannah, W., Hillman, B., Kornblueh, L., Marti, P., Norman, M., Pincus, R., Rast, S., Reinert, D., Schnur, R., Schulzweida, U. & Stevens, B.(2022). The ICON-A model for direct QBO simulations on GPUs (version icon-cscs:baf28a514). Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 6985-7016. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-6985-2022 [ Fulltext]
  • Maher, N., Tabarin, T. & Milinski, S.(2022). Combining machine learning and SMILEs to classify, better understand, and project changes in ENSO events. Earth System Dynamics, 13, 1289-1304. doi:10.5194/esd-13-1289-2022 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Mauritsen, T., Redler, R., Esch, M., Stevens, B., Hohenegger, C., Klocke, D., Brokopf, R., Haak, H., Linardakis, L., Röber, N. & Schnur, R.(2022). Early development and tuning of a global coupled cloud resolving model, and its fast response to increasing CO2. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 74, 346-363 . doi:10.16993/tellusa.54 [ Fulltext]
  • Baker, A., Roberts, M., Vidale, P., Hodges, K., Seddon, J., Vanniere, B., Haarsma, R., Schiemann, R., Kapetanakis, D., Tourigny, E., Lohmann, K., Roberts, C. & Terray, L. (2022). Extratropical transition of tropical cyclones in a multiresolution ensemble of atmosphere-land-only and fully coupled global climate models. Journal of Climate, 35, 5283-5306. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0801.1 [ Fulltext]
  • Hodson, D., Bretonniere, P., Cassou, C., Davini, P., Klingaman, N., Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Martin-Rey, M., Moine, M., Monerie, P., Putrasahan, D., Roberts, C., Robson, J., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Seddon, J. & Senan, R. (2022). Coupled climate response to Atlantic Multidecadal Variability in a multi-model multi-resolution ensemble. Climate Dynamics, 59, 805-836. doi:10.1007/s00382-022-06406-x [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Mathis, M., Logemann, K., Maerz, J., Lacroix, F., Hagemann, S., Chegini, F., Ramme , L., Ilyina, T., Korn, P. & Schrum, C. (2022). Seamless integration of the coastal ocean in global marine carbon cycle modeling. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14: e2021MS002789. doi:10.1029/2021MS002789 [ Fulltext]
  • Rohrschneider, T.(2022). A different view on the AMOC and the timing of climate change. Phd Thesis, Hamburg: Universität Hamburg. doi:10.17617/2.3396792 [ Fulltext]
  • van Dijk, E., Jungclaus, J., Lorenz, S., Timmreck, C. & Krueger, K. (2022). Was there a volcanic-induced long-lasting cooling over the Northern Hemisphere in the mid-6th-7th century?. Climate of the Past, 18, 1601-1623. doi:10.5194/cp-18-1601-2022 [ Fulltext]
  • Omrani, N.-E., Keenlyside, N., Matthes, K., Boljka, L., Zanchettin, D., Jungclaus, J. & Lubis, S. (2022). Coupled stratosphere-troposphere-Atlantic multidecadal oscillation and its importance for near-future climate projection. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5: 59. doi:10.1038/s41612-022-00275-1 [ Fulltext]
  • Rohrschneider, T., Baehr, J., Lüschow, V., Putrasahan, D. & Marotzke, J.(2022). Nonlocal and local wind forcing dependence of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and its depth scale. Ocean Science, 18, 979-996. doi:10.5194/os-18-979-2022 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Payne, M., Danabasoglu, G., Keenlyside, N., Matei, D., Miesner, A., Yang, S. & Yeager, S. (2022). Skilful decadal-scale prediction of fish habitat and distribution shifts. Nature Communications, 13: 2660. doi:10.1038/s41467-022-30280-0 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Shi, X., Werner, M., Krug, C., Brierley, C., Zhao, A., Igbinosa, E., Braconnot, P., Brady, E., Cao, J., D'Agostino, R., Jungclaus, J., Liu, X., Otto-Bliesner, B., Sidorenko, D., Tomas, R., Volodin, E., Yang, H., Zhang, Q., Zheng, W. & Lohmann, G. (2022). Calendar effects on surface air temperature and precipitation based on model-ensemble equilibrium and transient simulations from PMIP4 and PACMEDY. Climate of the Past, 18, 1047-1070. doi:10.5194/cp-18-1047-2022 [ Fulltext]
  • Hedemann, C., Mauritsen, T., Jungclaus, J. & Marotzke, J.(2022). Reconciling conflicting accounts of local radiative feedbacks in climate models. Journal of Climate, 35, 3131-3146. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0513.1 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • D'Agostino, R. & Timmreck, C.(2022). Sensitivity of regional monsoons to idealised equatorial volcanic eruption of different sulfur emission strengths. Environmental Research Letters, 17: 054001. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac62af [ Fulltext]
  • Gutjahr, O., Jungclaus, J., Brüggemann , N., Haak, H. & Marotzke, J.(2022). Air-sea interactions and water mass transformation during a katabatic storm in the Irminger Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 127: e2021JC018075. doi:10.1029/2021JC018075 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Jungclaus, J., Lorenz, S., Schmidt, H., Brovkin, V., Brüggemann, N., Chegini, F., Crueger, T., de Vrese, P., Gayler, V., Giorgetta, M., Gutjahr, O., Haak, H., Hagemann , S., Hanke, M., Ilyina, T., Korn, P., Kröger, J., Linardakis, L., Mehlmann, C., Mikolajewicz, U., Müller, W., Nabel, J., Notz, D., Pohlmann, H., Putrasahan, D., Raddatz, T., Ramme , L., Redler, R., Reick, C., Riddick, T., Sam, T., Schneck, R., Schnur, R., Schupfner, M., von Storch, J., Wachsmann, F., Wieners, K.-H., Ziemen, F., Stevens, B., Marotzke, J. & Claussen, M.(2022). The ICON Earth System Model Version 1.0. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14: e2021MS002813. doi:10.1029/2021MS002813 [ Fulltext]
  • Marotzke, J., Milinski, S. & Jones, C. (2022). How close are we to 1.5 degC or 2 degC of global warming?. Weather, 77, 147-148. doi:10.1002/wea.4174 [ Fulltext]
  • Ramme, L. & Marotzke, J.(2022). Climate and ocean circulation in the aftermath of a Marinoan snowball Earth. Climate of the Past, 18, 759-774. doi:10.5194/cp-18-759-2022 [ Fulltext]
  • Zhou, T., Zhang, W., Chen, D., Zhang, X., Li, C., Zuo, M. & Chen, X. (2022). Understanding and building upon pioneering work of Nobel Prize in Physics 2021 laureates Syukuro Manabe and Klaus Hasselmann: From greenhouse effect to Earth system science and beyond. Science China Earth Sciences, 65, 589-600. doi:10.1007/s11430-022-9906-4 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Samset, B., Zhou, C., Fuglestvedt, J., Lund, M., Marotzke, J. & Zelinka, M. (2022). Earlier emergence of a temperature response to mitigation by filtering annual variability. Nature Communications, 13: 1578. doi:10.1038/s41467-022-29247-y [ Fulltext]
  • van Dijk, E., Mørkestøl Gundersen, I., de Bode, A., Høeg, H., Loftsgarden, K., Iversen, F., Timmreck, C., Jungclaus, J. & Krüger, K. (submitted). Climate and society impacts in Scandinavia following the 536/540 CE volcanic double event. Currently under open review for Climate of the Past. doi:10.5194/cp-2022-23
  • Meng, X., Yao, F., Zhang, J., Liu, Q., Liu, Q., Shi, L. & Zhang, D. (2022). Impact of dust deposition on phytoplankton biomass in the Northwestern Pacific: A long-term study from 1998 to 2020. Science of the Total Environment, 813: 152536. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2021.152536
  • Raymond, C., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Kornhuber, K., Pascolini-Campbell, M., Sillmann, J. & Waliser, D. (2022). Increasing spatiotemporal proximity of heat and precipitation extremes in a warming world quantified by a large model ensemble. Environmental Research Letters, 17: 035005. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac5712 [ Fulltext]
  • Smith, D., Eade, R., Andrews, M., Ayres, H., Clark, A., Chripko, S., Deser, C., Dunstone, N., Garcia-Serrano, J., Gastineau, G., Graff, L., Hardiman, S., He, B., Hermanson, L., Jung, T., Knight, J., Levine, X., Magnusdottir, G., Manzini, E., Matei, D., Mori, M., Msadek, R., Ortega, P., Peings, Y., Scaife, A., Screen, J., Seabrook, M., Semmler, T., Sigmond, M., Streffing, J., Sun, L. & Walsh, A. (2022). Robust but weak winter atmospheric circulation response to future Arctic sea ice loss. Nature Communications, 13: 727. doi:10.1038/s41467-022-28283-y [ Fulltext]
  • Moreno-Chamarro, E., Caron, L.-P., Loosveldt Tomas, S., Vegas-Regidor, J., Gutjahr, O., Moine, M.-P., Putrasahan, D., Roberts, C., Roberts, M., Senan, R., Terray, L., Tourigny, E. & Vidale, P. (2022). Impact of increased resolution on long-standing biases in HighResMIP-PRIMAVERA climate models. Geoscientific Model Development, 15, 269-289. doi:10.5194/gmd-15-269-2022 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Askjær, T., Zhang, Q., Schenk, F., Ljungqvist, F., Lu, Z., Brierley, C., Hopcroft, P., Jungclaus, J., Shi, X., Lohmann, G., Sun, W., Liu, J., Braconnot, P., Otto-Bliesner, B., Wu, Z., Yin, Q., Kang, Y. & Yang, H. (2022). Multi-centennial Holocene climate variability in proxy records and transient model simulations. Quaternary Science Reviews, 296. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2022.107801 [ Fulltext]
  • Hellmich, L., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Matei, D. & Müller, W.(submitted). Extremely warm European summers driven by sub-decadal North Atlantic heat inertia. [ Fulltext]
  • Kumar Arjun, A., Brüggemann, N., Smith, R. & Marotzke, J.(2022). Response of a tropical cyclone to a subsurface ocean eddy and the role of boundary layer dynamics. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 148, 378-402. doi:10.1002/qj.4210 [ Fulltext]
  • Langehaug, H., Ortega, P., Counillon, F., Matei, D., Maroon, E., Keenlyside, N., Mignot, J., Wang, Y., Swingedouw, D., Bethke, I., Yang, S., Danabasoglu, G., Bellucci, A., Ruggieri, P., Nicolì, D. & Årthun, M. (2022). Propagation of thermohaline anomalies and their predictive potential along the Atlantic water pathway. Journal of Climate, 35, 2111-2131. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-1007.1 [ Fulltext]
  • Mehlmann, C. & Gutjahr, O.(2022). Discretization of sea ice dynamics in the tangent plane to the sphere by a CD-grid-type finite element. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 14: e2022MS003010. doi:10.1029/2022MS003010 [ Fulltext]
  • Suo, L., Gastineau, G., Gao, Y., Liang, Y.-C., Ghosh, R., Tian, T., Zhang, Y., Kwon, Y.-O., Otterå, O., Yang, S. & Matei, D.(2022). Simulated contribution of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation to the west Eurasia cooling in 1998-2013. Environmental Research Letters, 17: 094021. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ac88e5 [ Fulltext]
  • Fang, S.-W., Khodri, M., Timmreck, C., Zanchettin, D. & Jungclaus, J.(2021). Disentangling internal and external contributions to Atlantic multidecadal variabilityover the past millennium. Geophysical Research Letters, 48: e2021GL095990. doi:10.1029/2021GL095990 [ Fulltext]
  • Raymond, C., Matthews, T., Horton, R., Fischer, E., Fueglistaler, S., Ivanovich, C., Suarez-Gutierrez, L. & Zhang, Y. (2021). On the controlling factors of globally extreme humid heat. Geophysical Research Letters, 48: e2021GL096082. doi:10.1029/2021GL096082 [ Fulltext]
  • Dallmeyer, A., Claussen, M., Lorenz, S., Sigl, M., Toohey, M. & Herzschuh, U. (2021). Holocene vegetation transitions and their climatic drivers in MPI-ESM1.2.. Climate of the Past, 17, 2481-2513. doi:10.5194/cp-17-2481-2021 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Gonzalez-Rouco, J., Steinert, N., Garcia-Bustamante, E., Hagemann, S., de Vrese, P., Jungclaus, J., Lorenz, S., Melo-Aguilar, C., Garcia-Pereira, F. & Navarro, J. (2021). Increasing the depth of a land surface model. Part I: Impacts on the subsurface thermal regime and energy storage. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22, 3211-3230. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-21-0024.1 [ Fulltext]
  • Semmler, T., Jungclaus, J., Danek, C., Goessling, H., Koldunov, N., Rackow, T. & Sidorenko, D. (2021). Ocean model formulation influences transient climate response. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126: e2021JC017633. doi:10.1029/2021JC017633 [ Fulltext]
  • Steinert, N., Gonzalez-Rouco, J., de Vrese, P., Garcia-Bustamante, E., Hagemann, S., Melo-Aguilar, C., Jungclaus, J. & Lorenz, S.(2021). Increasing the depth of a land surface model. Part II: Temperature sensitivity to improved subsurface thermodynamics and associated permafrost response. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22, 3231-3254. doi:10.1175/JHM-D-21-0023.1 [ Fulltext]
  • Wu, M., Zhou, T., Li, C., Li, H., Chen, X., Wu, B., Zhang, W. & Zhang, L. (2021). A very likely weakening of Pacific Walker Circulation in constrained near-future projections. Nature Communications, 12: 6502. doi:10.1038/s41467-021-26693-y [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Lohmann, K., Putrasahan, D., von Storch, J., Gutjahr, O., Jungclaus, J. & Haak, H.(2021). Response of northern North Atlantic and Atlantic meridional overturning circulation to reduced and enhanced wind stress forcing. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126: e2021JC017902. doi:10.1029/2021JC017902 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Steinert, N., González-Rouco, J., Melo Aguilar, C., García Pereira, F., García-Bustamante, E., de Vrese, P., Alexeev, V., Jungclaus, J., Lorenz, S. & Hagemann, S. (2021). Agreement of analytical and simulation-based estimates of the required land depth in climate models. Geophysical Research Letters, 48: e2021GL094273. doi:10.1029/2021GL094273 [ Fulltext]
  • Koenigk, T., Fuentes-Franco, R., Meccia, V., Gutjahr, O., Jackson, L., New, A., Ortega, P., Roberts, C., Roberts, M., Arsouze, T., Iovino, D., Moine, M.-P. & Sein, D. (2021). Deep mixed ocean volume in the Labrador Sea in HighResMIP models. Climate Dynamics, 57, 1895-1918. doi:10.1007/s00382-021-05785-x [ Fulltext]
  • Liang, Y.-C., Frankignoul, C., Kwon, Y.-O., Gastineau, G., Manzini, E., Danabasoglu, G., Suo, L., Yeager, S., Gao, Y., Attema, J., Cherchi, A., Ghosh, R., Matei, D., Mecking, J., Tian, T. & Zhang, Y. (2021). Impacts of Arctic Sea ice on cold season atmospheric variability and trends estimated from observations and a multimodel large ensemble. Journal of Climate, 34, 8419-8443. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0578.1 [ Fulltext]
  • Specht, M., Jungclaus, J. & Bader, J.(2021). Identifying and characterizing subsurface tropical instability waves in the Atlantic Ocean in simulations and observations. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126: e2020JC017013. doi:10.1029/2020JC017013 [ Fulltext] [ Fulltext]
  • Ward, B., Pausata, F. & Maher, N.(2021). The sensitivity of the ENSO to volcanic aerosol spatial distribution in the MPI large ensemble. In open review for ESD. Earth System Dynamics, 12, 975-996. doi:10.5194/esd-12-975-2021 [ Fulltext]
  • Carré, M., Braconnot, P., Elliot, M., D'Agostino, R., Schurer, A., Shi, X., Marti, O., Lohmann, G., Jungclaus, J., Cheddadi, R., Abdelkader di Carlo, I., Cardich, J., Ochoa, D., Salas Gismondi, R., Pérez, A., Romero, P., Turcq, B., Corrège, T. & Harrison, S. (2021). High-resolution marine data and transient simulations support orbital forcing of ENSO amplitude since the mid-Holocene. Quaternary Science Reviews, 268: 107125. doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2021.107125 [ Fulltext]
  • Hansen, E., Sandvik, H., Erikstad, K., Yoccoz, N., Anker-Nilssen, T., Bader, J., Descamps, S., Hodges, K., Mesquita, M., Reiertsen, T. & Varpe, Ø. (2021). Centennial relationships between ocean temperature and Atlantic puffin production reveal shifting decennial trends. Global Change Biology, 27, 3753-3764. doi:10.1111/gcb.15665 [ Fulltext]
  • Rugenstein, M. & Armour, K. (2021). Three flavors of radiative feedbacks and their implications for estimating equilibrium climate sensitivity. Geophysical Research Letters, 48: e2021GL092983. doi:10.1029/2021GL092983 [ Fulltext]
  • Ayarzaguena, B., Manzini, E., Calvo, N. & Matei, D.(2021). Interaction between decadal-to-multidecadal oceanic variability and sudden stratospheric warmings. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1504, 215-229. doi:10.1111/nyas.14663 [ Fulltext]
  • Held, H., Aykut, S., Hedemann, C., Li, C., Marotzke, J., Petzold, J. & Schneider, U. (2021). Plausibility of model-based emissions scenarios. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J. & et al, . (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.21-26). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [ Fulltext]
  • Held, H., Engels, A., Marotzke, J. & Stammer, D. (2021). Implications for climate futures. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J. & et al, . (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.63-64). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [ Fulltext]
  • Marotzke, J., Hedemann, C., Milinski, S. & Suarez-Gutierrez, L.(2021). Which temperature trends can we expect for the 21st century. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J. & et al, . (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.53-59). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [ Fulltext]
  • Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D., Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A., Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J., Smith, D. & Tourigny, E. (2021). Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4: 33. doi:10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5 [ Fulltext]
  • Spring, A.(2021). Internal variability and potential predictability of the global carbon cycle in a perfect-model framework. Phd Thesis, Hamburg: Universität Hamburg. doi:10.17617/2.3289580 [ Fulltext]
  • Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J., Gresse, E., Hedemann, C. & Petzold, J. (2021). Epistemological challenges for assessing plausibility. In Stammer, D., Engels, A., Marotzke, J. & et al, . (Eds.), Hamburg Climate Futures Outlook 2021: Assessing the plausibility of deep decarbonization by 2050 (pp.15-18). Hamburg: Cluster of Excellence Climate, Climatic Change, and Society (CLICCS). [ Fulltext]
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