Joint Seminar: On the North Pacific reduced skill in near-term climate predictions of sea surface temperatures

Near-term climate prediction relies both on the predictability of the internal climate variability, by initializing climate models from estimates of the observed state, and on the externally forced predictability (by greenhouse gases, aerosols, solar activity).  This exercise shows that the current generation of climate forecasting systems performs particularly badly in the North Pacific region. In this presentation, we look for the major events missed by the forecasting systems and we investigate the reasons for this failure.




13:30 h


Bundesstr. 53, room 022/023
Seminar Room 022/023, Ground Floor, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Hamburg


Virginie Guemas, Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona


Wolfgang Müller

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