KlimaCampus Kolloquium: Seamless prediction from minutes to months: recent advances and future challenges

Advances in weather prediction during the last few decades have led to major changes in our ability to provide useful and timely warnings when high impact weather events threaten life, property, business or the environment. Skillful predictions can be made in some cases beyond ten days. Detailed forecasts of the structure and timing of high impact weather events can be made up to a few days in advance. Probabilistic information can be provided allowing decision making to become more sophisticated. Advances have been made in all aspects of the weather prediction process: in observations and data assimilation; in understanding and better representing key dynamical, physical and chemical processes; in the development, verification and application of coupled probabilistic numerical weather prediction systems; in the development of methods to provide and communicate the information necessary to allow the impacts of severe weather events to be mitigated. In this presentation examples will be given of the advances made and challenges remaining for seamless prediction from minutes to months.

Date

02.07.2015

Time

15:15 h

Place

Bundesstr. 53, room 022/023
Seminar Room 022/023, Ground Floor, Bundesstrasse 53, 20146 Hamburg, Hamburg

Speaker

Sarah Jones, DWD

Organizers

Christiana Lefebvre
Bjorn Stevens

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