What Drives the Asymmetrical Structure of the Intertropical Convergence Zone?

Observations show that the Intertropical Convergence Zone has a complex and asymmetrical structure. For example, precipitation is more pronounced at the southern edge of this tropical rain belt than at the northern edge. Using storm-resolving ICON simulations, researchers have explained the mechanisms behind this structure.

Around one-third of the world’s precipitation occurs within a narrow tropical rain belt, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), supplying hundreds of millions of people with freshwater. However, the processes inside the ITCZ and the mechanisms ultimately determining its position are poorly understood. In the ITCZ, the trade winds from the northern and southern hemispheres meet. This convergence causes moist air masses to rise, leading to strong cloud formation and intense rainfall. But contrary to what this picture might imply, observations show that the ITCZ has an asymmetric internal structure. Using global storm-resolving simulations, researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPI-M) have investigated how this asymmetry arises.

In their study, Divya Sri Praturi and Bjorn Stevens considered the ITCZ over the Atlantic and East Pacific basins during boreal summer. During this period, the ITCZ is located north of the equator. As previous work by MPI-M scientists Julia Windmiller and Bjorn Stevens showed, the rising and precipitating of air masses happens across a relatively wide area, but that the structure of the ITCZ is asymmetric in that the most intense rainfalls occur near the southern edge. The new study by Praturi and Stevens now provides an explanation for this structure using high-resolution simulations created with the ICON climate model as part of the nextGEMS project, which was funded by the European Union and led by the MPI-M.

“This is a very exciting simulation to work with, as it does not employ convective parameterization.  As a result, atmospheric circulation and convection can interact directly with each other, which allows us to better infer the causal relationships. We take the perspective of winds and force balances to explain the observed asymmetry,” says Praturi. 

Momentum balance explains the ITCZ’s asymmetrical structure

The analysis suggests that the sea surface temperature maximum, which occurs north of the equator during this season, sets up pressure gradients across the equator, which draws in air masses from the south. Praturi and Stevens show that these pressure gradients get stronger as the air masses cross the equator. Westerlies would be required to balance the gradients via the Coriolis force but are absent. This force imbalance accelerates the southerly air masses north of the equator. Owing to Earth’s rotation, the Coriolis force deflects southeasterlies in a clockwise direction, and the winds turn southwesterly. The westerly zonal wind can now balance the pressure gradients, and the air masses decelerate. This allows them to rise, resulting in strong convection with heavy rainfall in the southerlies, leading to the so-called southern edge of the ITCZ.

These processes of acceleration and deceleration do not occur in the northerly trade winds. Instead, positive pressure differences here are balanced out by the Coriolis force due to easterly zonal winds and friction. The convergence of these northerly trade winds is, as a result, less intense than the convergence in the southerly trade winds.

Previous studies theorized that convection is caused by inertial instability in the atmosphere. However, Praturi and Stevens’s analysis suggests that while such an unstable region does exist, the heaviest rainfall occurs north of it.

“We were able to show that this instability is not the cause of convection. Therefore, it does not determine the location of the ITCZ,” explains Praturi. Instead, the structure can be explained purely by the mean momentum balance. “Our storm-resolving ICON simulations allowed us to test the hypotheses and clearly identify the relevant mechanisms.”

The study provides valuable insights into the dynamical mechanisms that shape the ITCZ and provides new constraints on how far north the ITCZ latitudes could shift in a warming world where the sea surface temperature patterns are expected to change. It is also timely as data from the recent ORCESTRA campaign, which was led by MPI-M, can now be used to test the ideas they developed using the simulations.

Original publication

D. S. Praturi and B. Stevens (2025): On the meridional asymmetry of the poleward-displaced intertropical convergence zone. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. 2025; e70043. DOI: 10.1002/qj.70043

Contact

Dr. Divya Sri Praturi
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
divya-sri.praturi@we dont want spammpimet.mpg.de

Prof. Dr. Bjorn Stevens
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
bjorn.stevens@we dont want spammpimet.mpg.de