Study Reveals Previously Unknown Teleconnection Between Northern Hemisphere Ice Sheets and West Antarctica
The West Antarctic Ice Sheet is considered highly vulnerable to rapid ice loss due to global warming. It is even considered a “tipping element” in the climate system, because it might be irreversibly lost once a self-amplifying feedback sets in. Resting on topography below sea level that further deepens inland, an initial detachment of the ice sheet from its bedrock—for example, due to an incursion of warm water—can lead to runaway retreat of the ice sheet. This feedback mechanism is known as the Marine Ice Sheet Instability.
Previous studies have shown that this instability can be triggered by processes happening on the other side of the globe: For example, melting of the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets increases the global sea level, which can destabilize the marine-based sectors of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. In addition, melting of the Northern Hemisphere ice sheets can weaken the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), which cools the Northern Hemisphere and leads to an accumulation of heat in the Southern Hemisphere. Based on simulations with a novel coupled climate-ice sheet model, a team of researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology has found another important teleconnection by which Northern Hemisphere ice sheets can affect the West Antarctic Ice Sheet. The research was part of the Master’s thesis of Pierre Testorf (now at University of Bern) together with Clemens Schannwell, Marie-Luise Kapsch, and Uwe Mikolajewicz.
In an idealized simulation of the past 8,000 years, they removed the ice sheets in Newfoundland, Baffin Island, Alaska, eastern Russia, and Scandinavia, which were still present in a transient simulation of the past 26,000 years but are not in line with ice-sheet reconstructions at this time. The simulation of the 8,000 years from the removal of the ice sheets until present was idealized insofar as the removal was instantaneous and the direct effect of meltwater—on the AMOC, for example— was not accounted for. Therefore, it is not a complete representation of the actual climate evolution, but rather an experiment that allowed the scientists to isolate a previously unknown mechanism in the climate system.
Chain reaction leads to West Antarctic ice loss
Removing ice sheets in the Northern Hemisphere lowers the surface elevation, thereby increasing temperatures at the surface. Snow-free summers allow vegetation to grow, creating a darker, less reflective surface, which further contributes to strong warming that also affects the adjacent ocean. Ocean currents carry these warmer water masses to the Southern Ocean at mid-depth. There, they enter a regional, circular ocean current known as the Ross Gyre, whose radius varies naturally. A larger Ross Gyre shields the West Antarctic ice shelves from warm water intrusions, while a smaller Ross Gyre permits the transport of warm water masses directly towards these ice shelves. These periodic, decadal-scale warm water intrusions eventually destabilize the West Antarctic Ice Sheet, triggering rapid, self-sustained ice loss.
These results emphasize the close connection between different components of the Earth system and demonstrate that remote changes can trigger sudden and far-reaching climate effects. Numerical models that represent the dynamics of the atmosphere, ocean, vegetation, ice sheets, and the solid Earth together are essential to uncovering such complex chain reactions.
Original publication
Testorf, P., Schannwell, C., Kapsch, M. L., Mikolajewicz, U. (2026) Coupled Climate-Ice-Sheet Simulations Reveal Novel Teleconnection Between Northern Hemisphere Ice Sheets and the Antarctic Ice Sheet. Geophysical Research Letters 53 (1), e2025GL118959. DOI: 10.1029/2025GL118959
Contact
Pierre Testorf
University of Bern
pierre.testorf@unibe.ch
Dr. Clemens Schannwell
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
clemens.schannwell@mpimet.mpg.de
Dr. Marie-Luise Kapsch
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
marie-luise.kapsch@mpimet.mpg.de
Uwe Mikolajewicz
Max Planck Institute for Meteorology
uwe.mikolajewicz@mpimet.mpg.de