Publikationen der Gruppe Forstwirtschaft im Erdsystem


  • Arneth, A., Sitch, S., Pongratz, J., Stocker, B., Ciais, P., Poulter, B., Bayer, A., Bondeau, A., Calle, L., Chini, L., Gasser, T., Fader, M., Friedlingstein, P., Kato, E., Li, W., Lindeskog, M., Nabel, J., Pugh, T., Robertson, E., Viovy, N., Yue, C. & Zaehle, S. (2017). Historical carbon dioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed. Nature Geoscience, 10, 79-84 , doi:10.1038/ngeo2882
  • Bright, R., Davin, E., O/'Halloran, T., Pongratz, J., Zhao, K. & Cescatti, A. (2017). Local temperature response to land cover and management change driven by non-radiative processes. Nature Climate Change, 7, 296-302 , doi:10.1038/nclimate3250
  • Hense, I., Stemmler, I. & Sonntag, S. (2017). Ideas and perspectives: climate-relevant marine biologically driven mechanisms in Earth system models. Biogeosciences, 14, 403-413 , doi:10.5194/bg-14-403-2017 [Fulltext]
  • Li, W., Ciais, P., Peng, S., Yue, C., Wang, Y., Thurner, M., Saatchi, S., Arneth, A., Avitabile, V., Carvalhais, N., Harper, A., Kato, E., Koven, C., Liu, Y., Nabel, J., Pan, Y., Pongratz, J., Poulter, B., Pugh, T., Santoro, M., Sitch, S., Stocker, B., Viovy, N., Wiltshire, A., Yousefpour, R. & Zaehle, S. (2017). Land-use and land-cover change carbon emissions between 1901 and 2012 constrained by biomass observations. Biogeosciences, 14, 5053-5067 , doi:10.5194/bg-14-5053-2017 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Mayer, D. (2017). Potentials and side-effects of herbaceous biomass plantations for climate change mitigation. Phd-Thesis, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg. Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 197 , doi:10.17617/2.2479582 [Fulltext]
  • Nyawira, S.-S., Nabel, J., Brovkin, V. & Pongratz, J. (2017). Input-driven versus turnover-driven controls of simulated changes in soil carbon from land-use change. Environmental Research Letters, 12 , doi:10.1088/1748-9326/aa7ca9 [Fulltext] [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Nyawira, S.-S. (2017). Modelling the effects of land use change on soil carbon on global scale. Phd-Thesis, Universität Hamburg, Hamburg. Berichte zur Erdsystemforschung, 200 , doi:10.17617/2.2503104 [Fulltext]
  • Rauser, F., Alqadi, M., Arowolo, S., Baker, N., Behrens, E., Bedard, J., Dogulul, N., Domingues, L., Frassoni, A., Keller, J., Kirkpatrick, S., Langendijk, G., Mohammad, S., Misafa, M., Naumann, A., Osmon, N., Reed, K., Rothmüller, M., Schemann, V., Singh, A., Sonntag, S., Tummon, F., Victor, D., Villafverte, M., Walawender, J. & Zaroug, M. (2017). Earth system science frontiers - an early career perspective. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98, 1119-1127 , doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0025.1 [Fulltext]
  • Winckler, J., Reick, C. & Pongratz, J. (2017). Robust identification of local biogeophysical effects of land-cover change in a global climate model. Journal of Climate, 30, 1159-1176 , doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0067.1
  • Winckler, J., Reick, C. & Pongratz, J. (2017). Why does the locally induced temperature response to land cover change differ across scenarios. Geophysical Research Letters, 44, 3833-3840 , doi:10.1002/2017GL072519 [Fulltext]


  • Albright, R., Caldeira, L., Hosfelt, J., Kwiatkowski, L., Maclaren, J., Mason, B., Nebuchina, Y., Ninokawa, A., Pongratz, J., Ricke, K., Rivlin, T., Schneider, K., Sesboüé, M., Shamberger, K., Silverman, J., Wolfe, K. & Caldeira, K. (2016). Reversal of ocean acidification enhances net coral reef calcification. Nature, 531, 362- , doi:10.1038/nature17155
  • Bastos, A., Ciais, P., Barichivich, J., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V., Gasser, T., Peng, S., Pongratz, J., Viovy, N. & Trudinger, C. (2016). Re-evaluating the 1940s CO2 plateau. Biogeosciences, 13, 4877-4897 , doi:10.5194/bg-13-4877-2016 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Chen, Y., Ryder, J., Bastrikov, V., McGrath, M., Naudts, K., Otto, J., Ottle, C., Peylin, P., Polcher, J., Valade, A., Black, A., Elbers, J., Moors, E., Foken, T., van Gorsel, E., Haverd, V., Heinesch, B., Tiedemann, F., Knohl, A., Launiainen, S., Loustau, D., Ogee, J., Vessala, T. & Luyssaert, S. (2016). Evaluating the performance of land surface model ORCHIDEE-CAN v1.0 on water and energy flux estimation with a single- and multi-layer energy budget scheme. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 2951-2972 , doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2951-2016 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Erb, K., Luyssaert, S., Meyfroidt, P., Pongratz, J., Don, A., Kloster, S., Kuemmerle, T., Fetzel, T., Fuchs, R., Herold, M., Haberl, H., Jones, C., Spiotta, E., McCallum, I., Robertson, E., Seufert, V., Fritz, S., Valade, A., Wiltshire, A. & Dolman, A. (2017). Land management: data availability and process understanding for global change studies. Global Change Biology, 23, 512-533 , doi:10.1111/gcb.13443
  • Jones, C., Arora, V., Friedlingstein, P., Bopp, L., Brovkin, V., Dunne, J., Graven, H., Hoffman, F., Ilyina, T., John, J., Jung, M., Kawamiya, M., Koven, C., Pongratz, J., Raddatz, T., Randerson, J. & Zaehle, S. (2016). C4MIP – The Coupled Climate–Carbon Cycle Model Intercomparison Project: experimental protocol for CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 2853-2880 , doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2853-2016 [Fulltext]
  • Lawrence, D., Hurtt, G., Arneth, A., Brovkin, V., Calvin, K., Jones, A., Jones, C., Lawrence, P., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Pongratz, J., Seneviratne, S. & Shevliakova, E. (2016). The Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) contribution to CMIP6: rationale and experimental design. Geoscientific Model Development, 9, 2973-2998 , doi:10.5194/gmd-9-2973-2016 [Fulltext]
  • Le Quéré, C., Andrew, R., Canadell, J., Sitch, S., Korsbakken, J., Peters, G., Manning, A., Boden, T., Tans, P., Houghton, R., Keeling, R., Alin, S., Andrews, O., Anthoni, P., Barbero, L., Bopp, L., Chevallier, F., Chini, L., Ciais, P., Currie, K., Delire, C., Doney, S., Friedlingstein, P., Gkritzalis, T., Harris, I., Hauck, J., Haverd, V., Hoppema, M., Goldewijk, K., Jain, A., Kato, E., Körtzinger, A., Landschützer, P., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lienert, S., Lombardozzi, D., Melton, J., Metzl, N., Millero, F., Monteiro, P., Munro, D., Nabel, J., Nakaoka, S.-i., O'Brien, K., Olsen, A., Omar, A., Ono, T., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rödenbeck, C., Salisbury, J., Schuster, U., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Skjelvan, I., Stocker, B., Sutton, A., Takahashi, T., Tian, H., Tilbrook, B., van der Laan-Luijkx, I., van der Werf, G., Viovy, N., Walker, A., Wiltshire, A. & Zaehle, S. (2016). Global Carbon Budget 2016 . Earth System Science Data, 8, 605-649 , doi:10.5194/essd-8-605-2016
  • Li, W., Ciais, P., Wang, Y., Peng, S., Broquet, G., Ballantyne, A., Canadell, J., Cooper, L., Friedlingstein, P., Le Quéré, C., Myneni Peters G.P., R., Piao, S. & Pongratz, J. (2016). Reducing uncertainties in decadal variability of the global carbon budget with multiple datasets. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 113, 13104-13108 , doi:10.1073/pnas.1603956113
  • Naipal, V., Reick, C., Van Oost, K., Hoffmann, T. & Pongratz, J. (2016). Modeling long-term, large-scale sediment storage using a simple sediment budget approach. Earth Surface Dynamics, 4, 407-423 , doi:10.5194/esurf-4-407-2016 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Naudts, K., Chen, Y., McGrath, M., Ryder, J., Valade, A., Otto, J. & Luyssaert, S. (2016). Europe's forest management did not mitigate climate warming. Science, 351, 597-600 , doi:10.1126/science.aad7270
  • Nyawira, S.-S., Nabel, J., Don, A., Brovkin, V. & Pongratz, J. (2016). Soil carbon response to land-use change: Evaluation of a global vegetation model using meta-data. Biogeosciences, 13, 5661-5675 , doi:10.5194/bg-2016-161 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Pongratz, J. (2016). Do land management changes have effects on climate as large as land cover changes?. Latest Thinking , doi:10.21036/LTPUB10108
  • Sonntag, S., Pongratz, J., Reick, C. & Schmidt, H. (2016). Reforestation in a high-CO2 world - Higher mitigation potential than expected, lower adaptation potential than hoped for. Geophysical Research Letters, 43, 6546-6553 , doi:10.1002/2016GL068824 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Zhang, Y., Xiao, X., Guanter, L., Zhou, R., Ciais, P., Joiner, J., Sitch, S., Wu, X., Nabel, J., Dong, J., Kato, E., Jain, A., Wiltshire, A. & Stocker, B. (2016). Precipitation and carbon-water coupling jointly control the interannual variability of global land gross primary production. Scientific Reports, 6 , doi:10.1038/srep39748 [Fulltext]


  • Hansis, E., Davis, S. & Pongratz, J. (2015). Relevance of methodological choices for accounting of land use change carbon fluxes. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1230-1246 , doi:10.1002/2014GB004997 [Fulltext]
  • Le Quéré, C., Moriarty, R., Andrew, R., Canadell, J., Sitch, S., Korsbakken, J., Friedlingstein, P., Peters, G., Andres, R., Boden, T., Houghton, R., House, J., Keeling, R., Tans, P., Arneth, A., Bakker, D., Barbero, L., Bopp, L., Chang, J., Chevallier, F., Chini, L., Ciais, P., Fader, M., Feely, R., Gkritzalis, T., Harris, I., Hauck, J., Ilyina, T., Jain, A., Kato, E., Kitidis, V., Goldewijk, K., Koven, C., Landschützer, P., Lauvset, S., Lefèvre, N., Lenton, A., Lima, I., Metzl, N., Millero, F., Munro, D., Murata, A., Nabel, J., Nakaoka, S., Nojiri, Y., O'Brien, K., Olsen, A., Ono, T., Pérez, F., Pfeil, B., Pierrot, D., Poulter, B., Rehder, G., Rödenbeck, C., Saito, S., Schuster, U., Schwinger, J., Séférian, R., Steinhoff, T., Stocker, B., Sutton, A., Takahashi, T., Tilbrook, B., van der Laan-Luijkx, I., van der Werf, G., van Heuven, S., Vandemark, D., Viovy, N., Wiltshire, A., Zaehle, S. & Zeng, N. (2015). Global Carbon Budget 2015 . Earth System Science Data, 7, 349-396 , doi:10.5194/essd-7-349-2015 [Fulltext]
  • Nabel, J. (2015). Upscaling with the dynamic two-layer classification concept (D2C): TreeMig-2L, an efficient implementation of the forest-landscape model TreeMig . Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 3563-3577 , doi:10.5194/gmd-8-3563-2015 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Naipal, V., Reick, C., Pongratz, J. & Van Oost, K. (2015). Improving the global applicability of the RUSLE model - Adjustment of the topographical and rainfall erosivity factors. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 2893-2913 , doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2893-2015 [Fulltext]
  • Naudts, K., Ryder, J., McGrath, M., Otto, J., Chen, Y., Valade, A., Bellasen, V., Berhongaray, G., Bönisch, G., Campioli, M., Ghattas, J., de Groote , T., Haverd, V., Kattge, J., MacBean, N., Maignan, F., Merilä, P., Penuelas, J., Peylin, P., Pinty, B., Pretzsch, H., Schulze, E.-D., Solyga, D., Vuichard, N., Yan, Y. & Luyssaert, S. (2015). A vertically discretised canopy description for ORCHIDEE (SVN r2290) and the modifications to the energy, water and carbon fluxes. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, 2035-2065 , doi:10.5194/gmd-8-2035-2015 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Pongratz, J. ´ (2015). Ackern für den Klimaschutz : Von der Nebenwirkung zum GestaltenMöllers, N. (Eds.) Willkommen im Anthropozän : unsere Verantwortung für die Zukunft der Erde [eine Sonderausstellung des Deutschen Museums und des Rachel Carson Center for Environment and Society] , 60-63
  • Schneck, R., Reick, C., Pongratz, J. & Gayler, V. (2015). The mutual importance of anthropogenically and climate induced changes in global vegetation cover for future land carbon emissions in the MPI-ESM CMIP5 simulations. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 29, 1816-1829 , doi:10.1002/2014GB004959
  • Wilkenskjeld, S., Kloster, S., Pongratz, J., Raddatz, T. & Reick, C. (2015). Corrigendum to "Comparing the influence of net and gross anthropogenic land-use and land-cover changes on the carbon cycle in the MPI-ESM" (Biogeosciences, 11, 4817–4828, 2014). Biogeosciences, 12, 3041-3041 , doi:10.5194/bg-12-3041-2015 [Fulltext]
  • Yousefpour, R., Didion, M., Jacobsen, J., Meilby, H., Hengeveld, G., Schelhaas, M.-J. & Thorsen, B. (2015). Modelling of adaptation to climate change and decision-makers behaviours for the Veluwe forest area in the Netherlands. Forest Policy and Economics, 54, 1-10 , doi:10.1016/j.forpol.2015.02.002
  • Yousefpour, R. & Hanewinkel, M. (2015). Forestry professionals' perceptions of climate change, impacts and adaptation strategies for forests in south-west Germany. Climatic Change, 130, 273-286 , doi:10.1007/s10584-015-1330-5


  • Boysen, L., Brovkin, V., Arora, V., Cadule, P., de Noblet-Ducoudré, N., Kato, E., Pongratz, J. & Gayler, V. (2014). Global and regional effects of land-use change on climate in 21st century simulations with interactive carbon cycle. Earth System Dynamics, 5, 309-319 , doi:10.5194/esd-5-309-2014 [Fulltext] [Fulltext]
  • Davis, S., Burney, J., Pongratz, J. & Caldeira, K. (2014). Methods for attributing land-use emissions to products. Carbon Management, 5, 233-245 , doi:10.1080/17583004.2014.913867 [Fulltext]
  • Luyssaert, S., Jammet, M., Stoy, P., Estel, S., Pongratz, J., Ceschia, E., Churkina, G., Don, A., Erb, K., Ferlicoq, M., Gielen, B., Grünwald, T., Houghton, R., Klumpp, K., Knohl, A., Kolb, T., Kuemmerle, T., Laurila, T., Lohila, A., Loustau, D., McGrath, M., Meyfroidt, P., Moors, E., Naudts, K., Novick, K., Otto, J., Pilegaard, K., Pio, C., Rambal, S., Rebmann, C., Ryder, J., Suyker, A., Varlagin, A. & Dolman, M. (2014). Land management and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surface temperature. Nature Climate Change, 4, 389-393 , doi:10.1038/NCLIMATE2196
  • Pongratz, J., Reick, C., Houghton, R. & House, J. (2014). Terminology as a key uncertainty in net land use and land cover change carbon flux estimates. Earth System Dynamics, 5, 177-195 , doi:10.5194/esd-5-177-2014 [Fulltext]
  • Sonntag, S., Ilyina, T., Pongratz, J. & Schmidt, H. (2014). Das Erdsystemmodell MPI-ESM. Modellierung in der Climate Engineering-Forschung: Aussagekräftig trotz Unsicherheiten, 18-20 [Fulltext]
  • Wilkenskjeld, S., Kloster, S., Pongratz, J., Raddatz, T. & Reick, C. (2014). Comparing the influence of net and gross anthropogenic land-use and land-cover changes on the carbon cycle in the MPI-ESM. Biogeosciences, 11, 4817-4828 , doi:10.5194/bg-11-4817-2014 [Fulltext] [Fulltext] [Fulltext]

Contributions to IPCC

  • J. Pongratz as contributing author to Working Group I contribution to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, 2013, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: P. Ciais, C. Sabine, G. Bala, L. Bopp, V. Brovkin, J. Canadell, A. Chhabra, R. DeFries, J. Galloway, M. Heimann, C. Jones, C. Le Quere, R. Myneni, S. Piao, and P. Thornton, Chapter 6: Carbon and Other Biogeochemical Cycles.

  • J. Pongratz as contributing author to Working Group I contribution to the IPCC 5th Assessment Report Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis, 2013, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, United Kingdom and New York, NY, USA: G. Myhre, D. Shindell, F.-M. Breon, W. Collins, J. Fuglestvedt, J. Huang, D. Koch, J.-F. Lamarque, D. Lee, B. Mendoza, T. Nakajima, A. Robock, G. Stephens, T. Takemura, and H. Zhang, Chapter 8: Anthropogenic and Natural Radiative Forcing.